Correlation Between First Northwest and Citizens Community

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Northwest and Citizens Community at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Northwest and Citizens Community into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Northwest Bancorp and Citizens Community Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Northwest and Citizens Community and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Northwest with a short position of Citizens Community. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Northwest and Citizens Community.

Diversification Opportunities for First Northwest and Citizens Community

0.03
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Citizens is 0.03. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Northwest Bancorp and Citizens Community Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Citizens Community and First Northwest is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Northwest Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Citizens Community. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Citizens Community has no effect on the direction of First Northwest i.e., First Northwest and Citizens Community go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Northwest and Citizens Community

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Northwest Bancorp is expected to generate 1.29 times more return on investment than Citizens Community. However, First Northwest is 1.29 times more volatile than Citizens Community Bancorp. It trades about 0.36 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Citizens Community Bancorp is currently generating about 0.44 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,006  in First Northwest Bancorp on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  163.00  from holding First Northwest Bancorp or generate 16.2% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Northwest Bancorp  vs.  Citizens Community Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Northwest Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Northwest Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, First Northwest may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Citizens Community 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

20 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Citizens Community Bancorp are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile basic indicators, Citizens Community demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Northwest and Citizens Community Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Northwest and Citizens Community

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Northwest and Citizens Community positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Northwest position performs unexpectedly, Citizens Community can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Citizens Community will offset losses from the drop in Citizens Community's long position.
The idea behind First Northwest Bancorp and Citizens Community Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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