Correlation Between First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Ottawa Bancshares and Mountain Commerce Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Ottawa with a short position of Mountain Commerce. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce.

Diversification Opportunities for First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce

0.25
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Mountain is 0.25. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Ottawa Bancshares and Mountain Commerce Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Mountain Commerce Bancorp and First Ottawa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Ottawa Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Mountain Commerce. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Mountain Commerce Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Ottawa i.e., First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Ottawa is expected to generate 1.3 times less return on investment than Mountain Commerce. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Ottawa Bancshares is 1.09 times less risky than Mountain Commerce. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Mountain Commerce Bancorp is currently generating about 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,550  in Mountain Commerce Bancorp on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  625.00  from holding Mountain Commerce Bancorp or generate 40.32% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy92.68%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Ottawa Bancshares  vs.  Mountain Commerce Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Ottawa Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Ottawa Bancshares are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, First Ottawa may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Mountain Commerce Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Mountain Commerce Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong fundamental drivers, Mountain Commerce is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Ottawa and Mountain Commerce positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Ottawa position performs unexpectedly, Mountain Commerce can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mountain Commerce will offset losses from the drop in Mountain Commerce's long position.
The idea behind First Ottawa Bancshares and Mountain Commerce Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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