Correlation Between First Merchants and US Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Merchants and US Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Merchants and US Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Merchants and US Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Merchants and US Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Merchants with a short position of US Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Merchants and US Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for First Merchants and US Bancorp

0.87
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and USB is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Merchants and US Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Bancorp and First Merchants is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Merchants are associated (or correlated) with US Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Merchants i.e., First Merchants and US Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Merchants and US Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Merchants is expected to generate 1.74 times more return on investment than US Bancorp. However, First Merchants is 1.74 times more volatile than US Bancorp. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. US Bancorp is currently generating about 0.23 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,712  in First Merchants on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  684.00  from holding First Merchants or generate 18.43% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Merchants  vs.  US Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Merchants 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Merchants are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak primary indicators, First Merchants exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
US Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in US Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, US Bancorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Merchants and US Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Merchants and US Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Merchants and US Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Merchants position performs unexpectedly, US Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in US Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind First Merchants and US Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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