Correlation Between Greene County and BancFirst

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Greene County and BancFirst at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Greene County and BancFirst into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Greene County Bancorp and BancFirst, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Greene County and BancFirst and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Greene County with a short position of BancFirst. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Greene County and BancFirst.

Diversification Opportunities for Greene County and BancFirst

0.56
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Greene and BancFirst is 0.56. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Greene County Bancorp and BancFirst in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on BancFirst and Greene County is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Greene County Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with BancFirst. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of BancFirst has no effect on the direction of Greene County i.e., Greene County and BancFirst go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Greene County and BancFirst

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Greene County Bancorp is expected to under-perform the BancFirst. In addition to that, Greene County is 1.11 times more volatile than BancFirst. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. BancFirst is currently generating about 0.13 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  11,610  in BancFirst on November 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  399.00  from holding BancFirst or generate 3.44% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Greene County Bancorp  vs.  BancFirst

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Greene County Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Greene County Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental drivers, Greene County is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
BancFirst 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BancFirst are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent basic indicators, BancFirst reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Greene County and BancFirst Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Greene County and BancFirst

The main advantage of trading using opposite Greene County and BancFirst positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Greene County position performs unexpectedly, BancFirst can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BancFirst will offset losses from the drop in BancFirst's long position.
The idea behind Greene County Bancorp and BancFirst pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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