Correlation Between Merck and American Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck and American Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck and American Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck Company and American Financial Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck and American Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck with a short position of American Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck and American Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck and American Financial

-0.4
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Merck and American is -0.4. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck Company and American Financial Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on American Financial and Merck is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck Company are associated (or correlated) with American Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of American Financial has no effect on the direction of Merck i.e., Merck and American Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck and American Financial

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Merck Company is expected to under-perform the American Financial. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Merck Company is 1.07 times less risky than American Financial. The stock trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The American Financial Group is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  11,958  in American Financial Group on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,689  from holding American Financial Group or generate 22.49% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Merck Company  vs.  American Financial Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Merck Company 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Merck Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
American Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Financial Group are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, American Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Merck and American Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Merck and American Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck and American Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck position performs unexpectedly, American Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Financial will offset losses from the drop in American Financial's long position.
The idea behind Merck Company and American Financial Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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