Correlation Between Merck and Theriva Biologics

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck and Theriva Biologics at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck and Theriva Biologics into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck Company and Theriva Biologics, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck and Theriva Biologics and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck with a short position of Theriva Biologics. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck and Theriva Biologics.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck and Theriva Biologics

0.25
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Merck and Theriva is 0.25. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck Company and Theriva Biologics in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Theriva Biologics and Merck is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck Company are associated (or correlated) with Theriva Biologics. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Theriva Biologics has no effect on the direction of Merck i.e., Merck and Theriva Biologics go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck and Theriva Biologics

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Merck Company is expected to generate 0.18 times more return on investment than Theriva Biologics. However, Merck Company is 5.47 times less risky than Theriva Biologics. It trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Theriva Biologics is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,823  in Merck Company on January 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,632) from holding Merck Company or give up 24.32% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy99.79%
ValuesDaily Returns

Merck Company  vs.  Theriva Biologics

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Merck Company 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Merck Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Theriva Biologics 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Theriva Biologics has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Merck and Theriva Biologics Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Merck and Theriva Biologics

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck and Theriva Biologics positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck position performs unexpectedly, Theriva Biologics can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Theriva Biologics will offset losses from the drop in Theriva Biologics' long position.
The idea behind Merck Company and Theriva Biologics pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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