Correlation Between National Fuel and Eni SPA

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Fuel and Eni SPA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Fuel and Eni SPA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Fuel Gas and Eni SpA ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Fuel and Eni SPA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Fuel with a short position of Eni SPA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Fuel and Eni SPA.

Diversification Opportunities for National Fuel and Eni SPA

-0.43
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and Eni is -0.43. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Fuel Gas and Eni SpA ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Eni SpA ADR and National Fuel is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Fuel Gas are associated (or correlated) with Eni SPA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Eni SpA ADR has no effect on the direction of National Fuel i.e., National Fuel and Eni SPA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Fuel and Eni SPA

Considering the 90-day investment horizon National Fuel Gas is expected to generate 1.67 times more return on investment than Eni SPA. However, National Fuel is 1.67 times more volatile than Eni SpA ADR. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Eni SpA ADR is currently generating about -0.14 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,295  in National Fuel Gas on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  56.00  from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 0.89% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Fuel Gas  vs.  Eni SpA ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Fuel Gas 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, National Fuel may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Eni SpA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Eni SpA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.

National Fuel and Eni SPA Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Fuel and Eni SPA

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Fuel and Eni SPA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Fuel position performs unexpectedly, Eni SPA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Eni SPA will offset losses from the drop in Eni SPA's long position.
The idea behind National Fuel Gas and Eni SpA ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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