Correlation Between Old Republic and United Fire

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old Republic and United Fire at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old Republic and United Fire into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old Republic International and United Fire Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old Republic and United Fire and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old Republic with a short position of United Fire. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old Republic and United Fire.

Diversification Opportunities for Old Republic and United Fire

0.95
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and United is 0.95. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old Republic International and United Fire Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on United Fire Group and Old Republic is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old Republic International are associated (or correlated) with United Fire. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of United Fire Group has no effect on the direction of Old Republic i.e., Old Republic and United Fire go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old Republic and United Fire

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Old Republic is expected to generate 4.27 times less return on investment than United Fire. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Old Republic International is 4.93 times less risky than United Fire. It trades about 0.4 of its potential returns per unit of risk. United Fire Group is currently generating about 0.35 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,986  in United Fire Group on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,022  from holding United Fire Group or generate 51.46% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old Republic International  vs.  United Fire Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old Republic Interna 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Republic International are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly inconsistent basic indicators, Old Republic may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
United Fire Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Fire Group are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak fundamental indicators, United Fire unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Old Republic and United Fire Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old Republic and United Fire

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old Republic and United Fire positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old Republic position performs unexpectedly, United Fire can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in United Fire will offset losses from the drop in United Fire's long position.
The idea behind Old Republic International and United Fire Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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