Correlation Between Timberland Bancorp and Comerica

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Timberland Bancorp and Comerica at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Timberland Bancorp and Comerica into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Timberland Bancorp and Comerica, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Timberland Bancorp and Comerica and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Timberland Bancorp with a short position of Comerica. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Timberland Bancorp and Comerica.

Diversification Opportunities for Timberland Bancorp and Comerica

0.89
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Timberland and Comerica is 0.89. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Timberland Bancorp and Comerica in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Comerica and Timberland Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Timberland Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Comerica. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Comerica has no effect on the direction of Timberland Bancorp i.e., Timberland Bancorp and Comerica go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Timberland Bancorp and Comerica

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Timberland Bancorp is expected to generate 2.44 times less return on investment than Comerica. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Timberland Bancorp is 1.65 times less risky than Comerica. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Comerica is currently generating about 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,954  in Comerica on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  717.00  from holding Comerica or generate 12.04% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Timberland Bancorp  vs.  Comerica

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Timberland Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timberland Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental drivers, Timberland Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Comerica 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Comerica are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat conflicting primary indicators, Comerica sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Timberland Bancorp and Comerica Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Timberland Bancorp and Comerica

The main advantage of trading using opposite Timberland Bancorp and Comerica positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Timberland Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Comerica can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Comerica will offset losses from the drop in Comerica's long position.
The idea behind Timberland Bancorp and Comerica pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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