American Financial Group Stock Performance
| AFG Stock | USD 130.71 1.03 0.79% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning American Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, American Financial is likely to outperform the market. At this point, American Financial has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to confirm American Financial's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if American Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days American Financial Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest uncertain performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 2.77 | Five Day Return 0.58 | Year To Date Return (3.79) | Ten Year Return 94.63 | All Time Return 3.2 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0271 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3:2 | Forward Dividend Rate 3.52 | Dividend Date 2026-01-27 |
1 | Assessing American Financial Group Valuation After Recent Share Price Gains | 11/21/2025 |
| American Financial dividend paid on 26th of November 2025 | 11/26/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by S Lindner of 276 shares of American Financial subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/15/2025 |
3 | Vaughan Nelson Investment Management L.P. Takes Position in First American Financial Corporation FAF - MarketBeat | 01/08/2026 |
4 | A Look At American Financial Group Valuation As Mixed Returns Contrast With Discounted DCF Signals | 01/15/2026 |
5 | North American Financial 15 Split Corp. Monthly Dividend Declaration for Class A Preferred Share - Yahoo Finance | 01/20/2026 |
6 | Lemonade, First American Financial, Selective Insurance Group, Fidelity National Financial, and Jackson Financial Shares Are Falling, What You Need To Know - Fi... | 01/23/2026 |
| American Financial dividend paid on 27th of January 2026 | 01/27/2026 |
7 | Acquisition by S Lindner of 147 shares of American Financial subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/28/2026 |
8 | American Financial declares 1.50 dividend | 02/03/2026 |
9 | American Financial Group targets 3-5 percent net written premium growth and 11 core EPS for 2026 while emphasizing disciplined underwriting | 02/04/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.2 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 95 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.2 B |
American Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 13,932 in American Financial Group on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (964.00) from holding American Financial Group or give up 6.92% of portfolio value over 90 days. American Financial Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.0961% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of stocks are less volatile than American, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
American Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 130.71 | 90 days | 130.71 | about 78.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.68 (This American Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
American Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
American Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 27th of January 2026 American Financial paid $ 0.88 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: American Financial Group targets 3-5 percent net written premium growth and 11 core EPS for 2026 while emphasizing disciplined underwriting |
American Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 788 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 3.52 | |
| Shares Float | 66.4 M |
American Financial Fundamentals Growth
American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Financial, and American Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.021 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.28 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 10.91 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 83.42 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 12.21 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.24 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.32 X | ||||
| Revenue | 8.17 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.73 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.15 B | ||||
| Net Income | 887 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.41 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 9.68 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.48 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.79 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 56.71 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.15 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 10.08 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 10.82 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 30.84 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 3.21 B | ||||
About American Financial Performance
By analyzing American Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into American Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if American Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if American Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | (474.52) | (450.79) | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.03 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | 0.19 |
Things to note about American Financial performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 27th of January 2026 American Financial paid $ 0.88 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: American Financial Group targets 3-5 percent net written premium growth and 11 core EPS for 2026 while emphasizing disciplined underwriting |
- Analyzing American Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining American Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating American Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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