American Financial Group Stock Performance
| AFG Stock | USD 132.98 0.37 0.28% |
American Financial has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.39, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, American Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American Financial is expected to be smaller as well. American Financial right now shows a risk of 1.08%. Please confirm American Financial potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if American Financial will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Financial Group are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, American Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.14 | Five Day Return 2.75 | Year To Date Return (0.22) | Ten Year Return 97.42 | All Time Return 3.3 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0265 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3:2 | Forward Dividend Rate 3.52 | Dividend Date 2026-02-25 |
1 | Acquisition by S Lindner of 276 shares of American Financial subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/15/2025 |
| American Financial dividend paid on 27th of January 2026 | 01/27/2026 |
2 | Acquisition by S Lindner of 147 shares of American Financial subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/28/2026 |
3 | American Financial Group Beats Q4 CY2025 Sales Expectations | 02/03/2026 |
4 | American Financial Group targets 3-5 percent net written premium growth and 11 core EPS for 2026 while emphasizing disciplined underwriting | 02/04/2026 |
5 | American Financial Group, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | 02/05/2026 |
6 | American Financial Group, Inc. Receives Average Recommendation of Hold from Analysts | 02/09/2026 |
7 | New Kroger CEO Greg Foran will be among regions highest paid | 02/10/2026 |
8 | Australian Finance Group H1 2026 Earnings Surge Challenges Five Year Decline Narrative | 02/18/2026 |
| American Financial dividend paid on 25th of February 2026 | 02/25/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.4 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -835 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.4 B |
American Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 12,930 in American Financial Group on December 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 368.00 from holding American Financial Group or generate 2.85% return on investment over 90 days. American Financial Group is generating 0.0525% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.0756% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of stocks are less volatile than American, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
American Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 132.98 | 90 days | 132.98 | about 26.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.79 (This American Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
American Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
American Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 25th of February 2026 American Financial paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Australian Finance Group H1 2026 Earnings Surge Challenges Five Year Decline Narrative |
American Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -606 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.2 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 3.52 |
American Financial Fundamentals Growth
American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Financial, and American Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0234 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.21 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 11.19 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 83.42 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 12.21 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.30 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.40 X | ||||
| Revenue | 8.17 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.49 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.15 B | ||||
| Net Income | 842 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.41 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 9.68 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.82 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.79 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 57.78 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.53 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 10.08 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 11.09 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 32.66 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 3.36 B | ||||
About American Financial Performance
By analyzing American Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into American Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if American Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if American Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | 0.09 |
Things to note about American Financial performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 25th of February 2026 American Financial paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Australian Finance Group H1 2026 Earnings Surge Challenges Five Year Decline Narrative |
- Analyzing American Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining American Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating American Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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