Afya Stock Performance

AFYA Stock  USD 15.54  0.10  0.64%   
Afya has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.75, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Afya's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Afya is expected to be smaller as well. Afya right now shows a risk of 1.63%. Please confirm Afya value at risk, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to decide if Afya will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Afya are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Afya may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.64)
Five Day Return
3.05
Year To Date Return
3.95
Ten Year Return
(35.49)
All Time Return
(35.49)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0148
Payout Ratio
0.0326
Forward Dividend Rate
0.23
Dividend Date
2025-04-04
Ex Dividend Date
2025-03-26
1
Afya Limited Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
11/14/2025
2
Afya Limited ABullCase Theory
12/04/2025
3
The five-year underlying earnings growth at Afya is promising, but the shareholders are still in the red over that time
12/10/2025
4
Does Afyas Recent Weak Share Price Signal a Long Term Opportunity in 2025
12/19/2025
5
Assessing Afya s Valuation After a 3-Month Share Price Pullback
12/22/2025
6
Afya Limited Receives Consensus Rating of Moderate Buy from Analysts
12/31/2025
7
Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals Is The Market Wrong About Afya Limited
01/09/2026
8
Afya Reaches New 12-Month Low Time to Sell
01/16/2026
9
Technical Reactions to AFYA Trends in Macro Strategies - Stock Traders Daily
01/20/2026
10
Theres Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Afyas Returns On Capital
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow553 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.1 B

Afya Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,445  in Afya on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  109.00  from holding Afya or generate 7.54% return on investment over 90 days. Afya is currently generating 0.1325% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.6331% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Afya, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Afya is expected to generate 2.02 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Afya Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Afya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.54 90 days 15.54 
roughly 2.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Afya to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.71 (This Afya probability density function shows the probability of Afya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Afya has a beta of 0.75. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Afya average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Afya will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Afya has an alpha of 0.0636, implying that it can generate a 0.0636 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Afya Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Afya

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Afya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Afya's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1315.7717.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1316.7718.41
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.7318.3820.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.202.462.60
Details

Afya Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Afya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Afya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Afya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Afya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Afya Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Afya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Afya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Afya is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Afya has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Theres Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Afyas Returns On Capital

Afya Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Afya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Afya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Afya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding91.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments911 M

Afya Fundamentals Growth

Afya Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Afya, and Afya fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Afya Stock performance.

About Afya Performance

By analyzing Afya's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Afya's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Afya has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Afya has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 0.41  0.39 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.19  0.22 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.23 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.17  0.24 

Things to note about Afya performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Afya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Afya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Afya is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Afya has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Theres Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Afyas Returns On Capital
Evaluating Afya's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Afya's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Afya's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Afya's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Afya's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Afya's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Afya's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Afya's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Afya's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Afya's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Afya's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Afya's price analysis, check to measure Afya's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Afya is operating at the current time. Most of Afya's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Afya's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Afya's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Afya to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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