Afya Stock Performance
| AFYA Stock | USD 15.54 0.10 0.64% |
Afya has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.75, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Afya's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Afya is expected to be smaller as well. Afya right now shows a risk of 1.63%. Please confirm Afya value at risk, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to decide if Afya will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Afya are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Afya may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.64) | Five Day Return 3.05 | Year To Date Return 3.95 | Ten Year Return (35.49) | All Time Return (35.49) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0148 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.23 | Dividend Date 2025-04-04 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-03-26 |
1 | Afya Limited Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | 11/14/2025 |
2 | Afya Limited ABullCase Theory | 12/04/2025 |
3 | The five-year underlying earnings growth at Afya is promising, but the shareholders are still in the red over that time | 12/10/2025 |
4 | Does Afyas Recent Weak Share Price Signal a Long Term Opportunity in 2025 | 12/19/2025 |
5 | Assessing Afya s Valuation After a 3-Month Share Price Pullback | 12/22/2025 |
6 | Afya Limited Receives Consensus Rating of Moderate Buy from Analysts | 12/31/2025 |
7 | Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals Is The Market Wrong About Afya Limited | 01/09/2026 |
8 | Afya Reaches New 12-Month Low Time to Sell | 01/16/2026 |
9 | Technical Reactions to AFYA Trends in Macro Strategies - Stock Traders Daily | 01/20/2026 |
10 | Theres Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Afyas Returns On Capital | 02/10/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 553 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.1 B |
Afya Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,445 in Afya on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 109.00 from holding Afya or generate 7.54% return on investment over 90 days. Afya is currently generating 0.1325% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.6331% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Afya, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Afya Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Afya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.54 | 90 days | 15.54 | roughly 2.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Afya to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.71 (This Afya probability density function shows the probability of Afya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Afya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Afya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Afya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Afya's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Afya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Afya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Afya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Afya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Afya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Afya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Afya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Afya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Afya is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Afya has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Theres Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Afyas Returns On Capital |
Afya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Afya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Afya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Afya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 911 M |
Afya Fundamentals Growth
Afya Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Afya, and Afya fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Afya Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0835 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.20 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.30 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.77 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 46.89 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 33.33 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.55 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.39 X | ||||
| Revenue | 3.3 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.36 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.22 B | ||||
| Net Income | 676.39 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 616.25 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 6.85 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.17 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.71 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.33 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 10.03 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.43 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.53 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.42 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 8.83 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 2.01 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 449.59 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.2 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 284.9 M | ||||
About Afya Performance
By analyzing Afya's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Afya's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Afya has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Afya has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 0.41 | 0.39 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.19 | 0.22 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.15 | 0.23 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.08 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | 0.24 |
Things to note about Afya performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Afya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Afya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Afya is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Afya has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Theres Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Afyas Returns On Capital |
- Analyzing Afya's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Afya's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Afya's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Afya's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Afya's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Afya's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Afya's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Afya Stock analysis
When running Afya's price analysis, check to measure Afya's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Afya is operating at the current time. Most of Afya's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Afya's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Afya's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Afya to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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