Smith Ao Stock Performance

AOS Stock  USD 77.62  1.34  1.70%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Smith AO holds a performance score of 19. The entity has a beta of 0.0632, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Smith AO's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Smith AO is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Smith AO's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Smith AO's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Smith AO are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Smith AO unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.61)
Five Day Return
(2.45)
Year To Date Return
13.71
Ten Year Return
125.71
All Time Return
7.1 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0177
Payout Ratio
0.3627
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.4
Dividend Date
2026-02-17
1
Disposition of 2500 shares by James Stern of Smith AO subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
2
A. O. Smith Corporation AOS Shares Sold by Edgestream Partners L.P. - MarketBeat
12/02/2025
3
Acquisition by Obrien Stephen D. of 5725 shares of Smith AO subject to Rule 16b-3
12/29/2025
4
A. O. Smith Reports Record 2025 Diluted Earnings Per Share of 3.85 and Introduces 2026 Guidance
01/29/2026
5
A. O. Smith Margin Strength In FY 2025 Challenges Slowing Earnings Growth Narrative
01/30/2026
6
A Look At A. O. Smith Valuation After Record EPS And Margin Strength
02/02/2026
7
AO Smith Trying To Close In On Key Technical Benchmark
02/04/2026
8
A Look At A. O. Smith Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum
02/12/2026
9
Disposition of 2605 shares by Samuel Carver of Smith AO subject to Rule 16b-3
02/13/2026
 
Smith AO dividend paid on 17th of February 2026
02/17/2026
10
A. O. Smith Corporation Given Consensus Rating of Hold by Brokerages
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow239.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-53 M

Smith AO Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,378  in Smith AO on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,518  from holding Smith AO or generate 23.8% return on investment over 90 days. Smith AO is generating 0.3732% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4828% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than Smith, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Smith AO is expected to generate 1.97 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.97 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of risk.

Smith AO Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Smith Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 77.62 90 days 77.62 
about 5.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Smith AO to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.64 (This Smith AO probability density function shows the probability of Smith Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Smith AO has a beta of 0.0632. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Smith AO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Smith AO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Smith AO has an alpha of 0.269, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Smith AO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Smith AO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smith AO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.4578.9380.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.0684.4085.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.8679.3480.82
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
72.7279.9188.70
Details

Smith AO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Smith AO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Smith AO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smith AO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Smith AO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
4.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Smith AO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Smith AO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Smith AO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Smith AO is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 17th of February 2026 Smith AO paid $ 0.36 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: A. O. Smith Corporation Given Consensus Rating of Hold by Brokerages

Smith AO Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Smith Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Smith AO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smith AO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding139.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments193.2 M

Smith AO Fundamentals Growth

Smith Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Smith AO, and Smith AO fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Smith Stock performance.

About Smith AO Performance

Assessing Smith AO's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Smith AO's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Smith AO is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 74.67  43.18 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.26  0.28 
Return On Capital Employed 0.32  0.34 
Return On Assets 0.17  0.18 
Return On Equity 0.29  0.31 

Things to note about Smith AO performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Smith AO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Smith AO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Smith AO is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 17th of February 2026 Smith AO paid $ 0.36 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: A. O. Smith Corporation Given Consensus Rating of Hold by Brokerages
Evaluating Smith AO's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Smith AO's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Smith AO's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Smith AO's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Smith AO's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Smith AO's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Smith AO's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Smith AO's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Smith AO's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Smith AO's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Smith AO's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Smith Stock Analysis

When running Smith AO's price analysis, check to measure Smith AO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smith AO is operating at the current time. Most of Smith AO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smith AO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smith AO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smith AO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.