Avista Stock Performance

AVA Stock  USD 40.34  0.27  0.67%   
Avista has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.29, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Avista are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Avista is likely to outperform the market. Avista right now shows a risk of 1.13%. Please confirm Avista total risk alpha, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Avista will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Avista are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Avista is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.38
Five Day Return
(1.04)
Year To Date Return
3.49
Ten Year Return
5.36
All Time Return
256.18
Forward Dividend Yield
0.049
Payout Ratio
0.8246
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.96
Dividend Date
2026-03-13
1
Insider Trading
12/09/2025
2
Disposition of 7400 shares by Janet Widmann of Avista at 38.6318 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
 
Avista dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
3
Disposition of 1785 shares by Wayne Manuel of Avista at 38.74 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/16/2025
4
Disposition of 1737 shares by Ryan Krasselt of Avista subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
5
Disposition of 214 shares by Alexis Alexander of Avista subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
6
Avista Therapeutics Expands AI Gene Therapy Platform to Break Barriers in the Delivery of Genetic Medicines
01/09/2026
7
A Look At Avista Valuation As Shares Trade Near Analysts Fair Value Estimates
01/26/2026
8
Virid Earns Gold Recognition at the 2026 AVA Digital Awards
01/28/2026
9
GCM Acquires Kettmann Machining, Solidifying GCMs Position as a Premier Manufacturing Partner to the MedTech Industry
02/02/2026
10
Acquisition by Alexis Alexander of 3416 shares of Avista subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
11
Avista Corporation To Go Ex-Dividend on February 25th
02/11/2026
12
NorthWestern Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
02/12/2026
13
Avista Dividend Streak Continues As Clean Energy Spending Shapes Valuation
02/13/2026
14
Disposition of tradable shares by David Meyer of Avista at 42.68 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/17/2026
15
Alliant Energy Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Sales Increase YY
02/20/2026
16
Mayne Pharma Group H1 Earnings Call Highlights
02/24/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow30 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-564 M

Avista Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,816  in Avista on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  218.00  from holding Avista or generate 5.71% return on investment over 90 days. Avista is generating 0.0974% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.1279% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than Avista, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Avista is expected to generate 1.48 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.48 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of risk.

Avista Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Avista Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 40.34 90 days 40.34 
about 32.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avista to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 32.43 (This Avista probability density function shows the probability of Avista Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Avista has a beta of -0.29. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Avista are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Avista is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Avista has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Avista Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Avista

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avista. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avista's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.9540.0841.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.8737.0044.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.9039.0340.17
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.7640.4044.84
Details

Avista Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avista is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avista's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avista, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avista within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Avista Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avista for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avista can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Avista has 3.38 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.18, which is OK given its current industry classification. Avista has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Avista to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
Avista has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of Avista shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Mayne Pharma Group H1 Earnings Call Highlights

Avista Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avista Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avista's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avista's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding81.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19 M

Avista Fundamentals Growth

Avista Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Avista, and Avista fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Avista Stock performance.

About Avista Performance

By analyzing Avista's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Avista's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Avista has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Avista has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 57.85  60.74 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.08 

Things to note about Avista performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Avista for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Avista help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Avista has 3.38 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.18, which is OK given its current industry classification. Avista has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Avista to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
Avista has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of Avista shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Mayne Pharma Group H1 Earnings Call Highlights
Evaluating Avista's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Avista's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Avista's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Avista's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Avista's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Avista's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Avista's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Avista's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Avista's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Avista's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Avista's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Avista Stock analysis

When running Avista's price analysis, check to measure Avista's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avista is operating at the current time. Most of Avista's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avista's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avista's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avista to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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