Avista Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AVA Stock | USD 39.13 0.09 0.23% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Avista is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Avista buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Avista positions.
Check out Avista Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Avista Stock refer to our How to Trade Avista Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Avista and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Avista. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
Avista |
Execute Avista Buy or Sell Advice
The Avista recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Avista. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Avista or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Avista's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Avista Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Avista has 3.03 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.18, which is OK given its current industry classification. Avista has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Avista to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Avista has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 89.0% of Avista shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Avista Co. Announces Quarterly Dividend of 0.48 |
Avista Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Avista's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Avista's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Avista daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Avista price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Avista returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Avista.
| Mean Return | 0.02 | Value At Risk | -2.08 | Potential Upside | 2.11 | Standard Deviation | 1.16 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Avista historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Avista Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.2 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 1.1 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 973.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 945.5 K | Prudential Financial Inc | 2024-09-30 | 924.7 K | Mariner Value Strategies, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 858.4 K | Old Republic International Corp | 2024-09-30 | 597.5 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 547.3 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 541.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 14.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 9.9 M |
Avista Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (6.1M) | (868K) | (17.3M) | (22.9M) | (52.3M) | (49.7M) | |
| Change In Cash | (4.8M) | 4.3M | 8.0M | (8.7M) | 21.6M | 22.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (44.3M) | (73.3M) | (172.6M) | (327.8M) | (51.6M) | (49.0M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (68.1M) | (38.1M) | (112.5M) | (148.0M) | 4.2M | 4.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 102.8M | 110.3M | 118.2M | 129.1M | 140.9M | 72.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 442.5M | 404.3M | 439.9M | 452.0M | 498.6M | 281.1M | |
| Net Income | 196.8M | 129.5M | 147.3M | 155.2M | 171.2M | 106.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 9.9M | 14.2M | 22.2M | 13.4M | 35.0M | 40.7M | |
| Depreciation | 206.0M | 224.2M | 232.2M | 253.1M | 265.4M | 192.6M | |
| Change Receivables | (4.4M) | (11.0M) | (46.1M) | (56.0M) | (50.4M) | (47.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 83.1M | 127.4M | 218.1M | 325.8M | 374.6M | 393.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | 13.3M | 52.9M | (6.8M) | (14.1M) | (12.7M) | (12.0M) | |
| Investments | (4.4M) | 2.4M | 6.5M | (1.7M) | (488.5M) | (464.1M) |
Avista Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Avista or Multi-Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Avista's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Avista stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Avista Volatility Alert
Avista has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of -0.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Avista's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Avista's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Avista Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Avista's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Avista's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Avista and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Avista or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Avista's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Avista by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Avista to competition |
| Fundamentals | Avista | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0798 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.025 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.1 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 79.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.87 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 88.98 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.28 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 21.14 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.21 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.61 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.75 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 974.35 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 542.62 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 171.18 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 13.43 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.30 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.03 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.18 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.75 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 31.93 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 447.08 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.33 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.53 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.89 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 39.25 | |
| Beta | 0.46 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.09 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.7 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 841.35 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (113.36 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 306.05 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Scott Kinney of 5363 shares of Avista subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Avista Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Avista . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3798.22 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2093 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 39.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 39.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.09 |
About Avista Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Avista? Buying financial instruments such as Avista Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Avista in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Commodities Funds Thematic Idea Now
Commodities Funds
Funds or Etfs investing in commodities such as oil, gold, corn, soy, and agricultural goods. The Commodities Funds theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Commodities Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Avista Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Avista Stock refer to our How to Trade Avista Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Multi-Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avista. If investors know Avista will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avista listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.211 | Dividend Share 1.885 | Earnings Share 2.53 | Revenue Per Share 24.563 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
The market value of Avista is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avista that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avista's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avista's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avista's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avista's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avista's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Avista is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avista's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.