Avista Valuation

AVA Stock  USD 40.08  0.16  0.40%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Avista shows a prevailing Real Value of $36.97 per share. The current price of the firm is $40.08. Our model approximates the value of Avista from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0728, current valuation of 6.61 B, and Profit Margin of 0.1 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Avista's valuation include:
Price Book
1.2333
Enterprise Value
6.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.104
Price Sales
1.6718
Forward PE
14.6628
Overvalued
Today
40.08
Please note that Avista's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Avista is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Avista's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Avista is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Avista Stock. However, Avista's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  40.08 Real  36.97 Target  40.4 Hype  39.92 Naive  38.97
The real value of Avista Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Avista Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Avista's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Avista's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
36.97
Real Value
43.91
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Avista helps investors to forecast how Avista stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Avista more accurately as focusing exclusively on Avista's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.980.980.98
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.7639.9241.08
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.381.451.51
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
36.7640.4044.84
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Avista's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Avista's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Avista's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Avista we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Avista Cash

18.05 Million

Avista Revenue by Product

Avista Total Value Analysis

Avista is presently anticipated to have company total value of 6.61 B with market capitalization of 3.28 B, debt of 3.38 B, and cash on hands of 30 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Avista fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
6.61 B
3.28 B
3.38 B
30 M

Avista Investor Information

About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Avista has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of November 1993. Based on the key measurements obtained from Avista's financial statements, Avista is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in April.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.110.1802
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities271.7 M469 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income221 M354 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable

Avista Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Avista has an asset utilization ratio of 22.72 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.23 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Avista is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Avista Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Avista's financial statements, Avista's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Avista's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
29 M
Current Value
71 M
Quarterly Volatility
21.5 M
 
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Interest Hikes
At present, Avista's Gross Profit is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Gross Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.38, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is forecasted to decline to 0.08.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.380.2419
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.09450.0983
Sufficiently Down
Very volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.110.1802
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.07570.1105
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.02440.0223
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.08260.0712
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
For Avista profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Avista to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Avista utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Avista's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Avista over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Avista Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Avista is estimated to be 0.98 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.98 to a high of 0.98. Avista's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.38. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Avista is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Avista is projected to generate 0.98 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Avista earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Avista EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Avista's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Avista, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Avista Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Avista's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Avista is estimated to be 0.98 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.98 to a high of 0.98. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Avista is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.87
0.98
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.98
0.98
Highest

Avista Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Avista's value are higher than the current market price of the Avista stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Avista is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Avista's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
673.36%
0.87
0.98
2.38

Avista Ownership Allocation

Avista holds a total of 82.25 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Avista outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Avista to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Avista. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Avista as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Avista Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.96 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 193 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.27 B.

Avista Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Avista's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Avista and how it compares across the competition.

About Avista Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Avista's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Avista. We calculate exposure to Avista's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Avista's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit475 M770.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.11  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.18  0.11 
Net Profit Margin 0.10  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.24  0.38 

Avista Quarterly Retained Earnings

905 Million

Avista's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Avista's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Avista can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Avista represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Avista, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Avista Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At present, Avista's Dividend Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Dividend Payout Ratio is expected to grow to 0.88, whereas Dividends Paid is projected to grow to (151.1 M). . At present, Avista's Retained Earnings are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Earnings Yield is expected to grow to 0.08, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is forecasted to decline to about 589.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-159 M-151.1 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.06 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.82  0.88 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.64  0.90 
There are various types of dividends Avista can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Avista shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Avista directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Avista pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Avista by the value of the dividends paid out.

Avista Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding81.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.028
Forward Price Earnings14.6628

Avista Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Avista and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Avista we look at many different elements of the entity such as Avista's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Avista, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Avista's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Avista's worth.

Complementary Tools for Avista Stock analysis

When running Avista's price analysis, check to measure Avista's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avista is operating at the current time. Most of Avista's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avista's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avista's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avista to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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