Avidia Bancorp Stock Performance

AVBC Stock   16.84  0.39  2.26%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Avidia Bancorp holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.52, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Avidia Bancorp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Avidia Bancorp is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Avidia Bancorp's sortino ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Avidia Bancorp's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Avidia Bancorp are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain fundamental drivers, Avidia Bancorp exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.85)
Five Day Return
2.68
Year To Date Return
4.3
Ten Year Return
17.69
All Time Return
17.69
1
Acquisition by Barry Jensen of 2500 shares of Avidia Bancorp, at 15.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
10/30/2025
2
Acquisition by Robert Cozzone of 3277 shares of Avidia Bancorp, at 15.2597 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/05/2025
3
Acquisition by Murphy Michael Dennis of 1000 shares of Avidia Bancorp, at 15.1 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/06/2025
4
Acquisition by Robert Cozzone of 3240 shares of Avidia Bancorp, at 15.4331 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/10/2025
5
Acquisition by Barry Jensen of 5000 shares of Avidia Bancorp, at 15.2449 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/13/2025
6
Is Avidia Bancorp Inc. stock safe for risk averse investors - Dollar Strength Weekly Top Performers Watchlists - newser.com
11/14/2025
7
Acquisition by Barry Jensen of 408 shares of Avidia Bancorp, at 14.92 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/18/2025
8
Avidia Bancorp director Girard buys 7856 in stock - Investing.com
11/20/2025
9
Acquisition by Robert Cozzone of 3261 shares of Avidia Bancorp, at 15.33 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
10
Acquisition by Jonathan Nelson of 3245 shares of Avidia Bancorp, at 15.41 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/24/2025
11
Avidia Bancorp CFO Nelson buys 50k in shares By Investing.com - Investing.com Canada
11/25/2025
12
Acquisition by Ball James N of 5000 shares of Avidia Bancorp, at 16.1312 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
13
Council agrees deal to share former grammar school
12/12/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow70.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-71.1 M

Avidia Bancorp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,498  in Avidia Bancorp on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  225.00  from holding Avidia Bancorp or generate 15.02% return on investment over 90 days. Avidia Bancorp is currently generating 0.2395% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.4195% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Avidia, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Avidia Bancorp is expected to generate 1.93 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.93 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Avidia Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Avidia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.84 90 days 16.84 
about 23.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avidia Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.29 (This Avidia Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Avidia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Avidia Bancorp has a beta of 0.52. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Avidia Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Avidia Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Avidia Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1925, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Avidia Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Avidia Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avidia Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7817.2018.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5119.6621.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.6118.0319.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.4517.0117.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Avidia Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Avidia Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Avidia Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Avidia Bancorp.

Avidia Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avidia Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avidia Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avidia Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avidia Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Avidia Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avidia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avidia Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avidia Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments329.4 M

Avidia Bancorp Fundamentals Growth

Avidia Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Avidia Bancorp, and Avidia Bancorp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Avidia Stock performance.

About Avidia Bancorp Performance

By analyzing Avidia Bancorp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Avidia Bancorp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Avidia Bancorp has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Avidia Bancorp has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.00  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.08 

Things to note about Avidia Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Avidia Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Avidia Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Avidia Bancorp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Avidia Bancorp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Avidia Bancorp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Avidia Bancorp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Avidia Bancorp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Avidia Bancorp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Avidia Bancorp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Avidia Bancorp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Avidia Bancorp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Avidia Bancorp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Avidia Bancorp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Avidia Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Avidia Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avidia Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Avidia Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avidia Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avidia Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avidia Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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