Certara Stock Performance
| CERT Stock | USD 10.00 0.11 1.09% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Certara are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Certara is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Certara has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to confirm Certara's skewness, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if Certara performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Certara has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest uncertain performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.1 | Five Day Return 3.48 | Year To Date Return 15.68 | Ten Year Return (73.45) | All Time Return (73.45) |
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| Begin Period Cash Flow | 235 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -112.4 M |
Certara Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,158 in Certara on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (158.00) from holding Certara or give up 13.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. Certara is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.8693% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Certara, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Certara Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Certara Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.00 | 90 days | 10.00 | about 39.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Certara to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 39.17 (This Certara probability density function shows the probability of Certara Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Certara has a beta of -0.11 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Certara are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Certara is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Certara has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Certara Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Certara
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Certara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Certara Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Certara is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Certara's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Certara, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Certara within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Certara Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Certara for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Certara can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Certara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Certara has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 385.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 255.33 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Twist Bioscience Announces Preliminary First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Revenue |
Certara Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Certara Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Certara's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Certara's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 179.2 M |
Certara Fundamentals Growth
Certara Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Certara, and Certara fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Certara Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0103 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0126 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.72 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 159.27 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.50 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.88 X | ||||
| Revenue | 385.15 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 255.33 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 72.37 M | ||||
| Net Income | (12.05 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 195.44 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.22 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 311.9 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.29 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.51 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.68 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 80.47 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.07 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.61 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.58 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (128.28 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 164.76 M | ||||
About Certara Performance
Assessing Certara's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Certara's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Certara is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 25.58 | 22.74 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.01) | (0.01) |
Things to note about Certara performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Certara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Certara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Certara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Certara has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 385.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 255.33 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Twist Bioscience Announces Preliminary First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Revenue |
- Analyzing Certara's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Certara's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Certara's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Certara's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Certara's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Certara's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Certara's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Certara Stock Analysis
When running Certara's price analysis, check to measure Certara's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Certara is operating at the current time. Most of Certara's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Certara's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Certara's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Certara to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.