Cenovus Energy Stock Performance

CVE Stock  USD 20.57  0.85  4.31%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Cenovus Energy holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Cenovus Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cenovus Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Cenovus Energy's sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Cenovus Energy's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cenovus Energy are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather conflicting basic indicators, Cenovus Energy exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.31
Five Day Return
2.49
Year To Date Return
17.34
Ten Year Return
83.5
All Time Return
(17.72)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0296
Payout Ratio
0.4888
Forward Dividend Rate
0.58
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-15
 
Cenovus Energy dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
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Begin Period Cash Flow2.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.1 B

Cenovus Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,772  in Cenovus Energy on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  285.00  from holding Cenovus Energy or generate 16.08% return on investment over 90 days. Cenovus Energy is generating 0.27% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.2695% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Cenovus, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cenovus Energy is expected to generate 2.77 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.77 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Cenovus Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cenovus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.57 90 days 20.57 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cenovus Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cenovus Energy probability density function shows the probability of Cenovus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cenovus Energy has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cenovus Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cenovus Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cenovus Energy has an alpha of 0.2814, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cenovus Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cenovus Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cenovus Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cenovus Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2820.5522.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3320.6022.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.6419.9122.18
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.1019.8922.07
Details

Cenovus Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cenovus Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cenovus Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cenovus Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cenovus Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Cenovus Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cenovus Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cenovus Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 31st of December 2025 Cenovus Energy paid $ 0.1427 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cenovus Energy Reaches New 52-Week High Should You Buy

Cenovus Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cenovus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cenovus Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cenovus Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 B

Cenovus Energy Fundamentals Growth

Cenovus Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cenovus Energy, and Cenovus Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cenovus Stock performance.

About Cenovus Energy Performance

By analyzing Cenovus Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cenovus Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cenovus Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cenovus Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 30.36  23.45 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.08 

Things to note about Cenovus Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cenovus Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cenovus Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 31st of December 2025 Cenovus Energy paid $ 0.1427 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cenovus Energy Reaches New 52-Week High Should You Buy
Evaluating Cenovus Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cenovus Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cenovus Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cenovus Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cenovus Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cenovus Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cenovus Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cenovus Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cenovus Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cenovus Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cenovus Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Cenovus Energy's price analysis, check to measure Cenovus Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cenovus Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Cenovus Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cenovus Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cenovus Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cenovus Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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