Cenovus Energy Stock Performance

CVE Stock  USD 26.29  -0.16  -0.60%   
Cenovus Energy has performed against its sector and the broad market over time. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is 0.55%, with a 2.18% dividend yield adding to total return.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Constructive
 
Weak
 
Strong
Cenovus Energy currently ranks below 19% of comparable global equities and portfolios when recent risk-adjusted returns are measured across a 90-day horizon. This score becomes more informative when compared with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of rather conflicting basic indicators, Cenovus Energy exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakout point. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-0.60
 Five Day Return
5.88
 Year To Date Return
55.38
 Ten Year Return
75.74
 All Time Return
5.16
 Forward Dividend Yield
2.2%
 Payout Ratio
38.4%
 Forward Dividend Rate
0.57
 Dividend Date
2026-03-31
 Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-13

Performance Related Modules

Earnings links to analyst estimate history and revisions, Ownership shows shareholder mix, Profitability focuses on margin and return ratios, Liquidity covers cash-flow strength and short-term funding capacity, and Fundamentals groups the broader financial ratio set.

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,880 in Cenovus Energy on January 26, 2026 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 749.00 from holding Cenovus Energy or generated 39.84% return on investment over 90 days. Cenovus Energy is generating a 0.5502% daily return assuming volatility of 2.247% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, Cenovus exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 80% of comparable stocks, and CVE delivers lower expected returns than 89% of comparable equities over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary evaluates how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Over a 90-day investment horizon, CVE generates 2.38 times more return on investment than the market. However, CVE is 2.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.24% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.0% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for stocks like Cenovus Stock. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
26.29 90 days 26.29
about 11.28
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of Cenovus Energy moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 11.28 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This Cenovus Energy distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in Cenovus Stock over a 90-day period).
Over a 90-day investment horizon, Cenovus Energy has a beta of -0.5 suggesting that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on Cenovus Energy tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Cenovus Energy tends to outperform the market. Additionally, Cenovus Energy has an alpha of 0.5584, implying that it can generate a 0.5584 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Cenovus Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cenovus Energy

Investors apply quantitative and fundamental models to forecast Cenovus Energy within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level warranted by Cenovus Energy predictions.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Cenovus Energy's appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, Cenovus Energy's price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
24.6426.8929.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
23.6632.5534.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0626.3028.55
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.5628.0931.17
Details
Cenovus Energy is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where Cenovus Energy leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for Cenovus Energy investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of Cenovus Energy.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.56
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.5
σ
Overall volatility
2.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.25

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking Cenovus Energy through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing Cenovus Energy notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes.
About 29.0% of CVE shares are held by company insiders
On 31st of March 2026 Cenovus Energy paid $ 0.146 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thenewswire.com: Star Royalties Reports Audited Financial Results for 2025

Price Density Drivers

Several forces contribute to Cenovus Energy's price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring Cenovus Energy's price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.7 B

Cenovus Energy Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price Cenovus Stock based on their assessment of Cenovus Energy's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving Cenovus Stock.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Return quality for Cenovus Energy evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. High return quality implies that outcomes are not dominated by a small number of extreme observations. Cenovus Energy shows ROE of 12.8%, ROA of 4.61% (TTM) vs 3.96% (last reported).

Cenovus Energy metrics are compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized before display. Analyst projections are included when active coverage applies. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board