Cenovus Energy Stock Market Outlook
| CVE Stock | USD 20.57 0.85 4.31% |
About 63% of all Cenovus Energy's shareholders are looking to take a long position. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Cenovus Energy stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Cenovus Energy's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Cenovus Energy stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 63
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Cenovus Energy's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Cenovus Energy.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cenovus Energy is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Cenovus Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CVE positions.
Execute Cenovus Energy Advice
The Cenovus recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cenovus Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cenovus Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cenovus Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Fair | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Cenovus Energy has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1215, Jensen Alpha of 0.2814, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0894, Sortino Ratio of 0.1128 and Treynor Ratio of 0.7824Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Cenovus Energy. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Cenovus Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all Cenovus Energy fundamentals, including its cash per share, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Cenovus Energy has a price to earning of 14.01 X, we suggest you to validate Cenovus Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Cenovus Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 31st of December 2025 Cenovus Energy paid $ 0.1427 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cenovus Energy Reaches New 52-Week High Should You Buy |
Cenovus Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Cenovus Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cenovus Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cenovus Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cenovus Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cenovus Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Cenovus Energy.
| Mean Return | 0.32 | Value At Risk | -3.24 | Potential Upside | 4.31 | Standard Deviation | 2.26 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cenovus Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Cenovus Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Smead Capital Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 17.6 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 17.3 M | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2025-06-30 | 16.9 M | Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | 2025-06-30 | 15.5 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 14 M | Bank Of Montreal | 2025-06-30 | 11.8 M | Bmo Capital Markets Corp. | 2025-06-30 | 11.8 M | Cibc World Markets Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 11.5 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 10.9 M | Capital World Investors | 2025-06-30 | 184.7 M | Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 | 2025-06-30 | 61.1 M |
Cenovus Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 2.5B | 1.7B | (2.3B) | 866M | 995.9M | 1.0B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.4B | 7.6B | 3.1B | 4.2B | 4.9B | 5.1B | |
| Depreciation | 4.3B | 4.4B | 4.6B | 4.9B | 5.6B | 5.9B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 524M | (628M) | 110M | 536M | 482.4M | 828.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.6B | 3.8B | 4.3B | 5.0B | 5.8B | 6.1B | |
| Net Income | 587M | 6.5B | 4.1B | 3.1B | 3.6B | 3.8B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.9B | 4.5B | 2.2B | 3.1B | 3.6B | 1.8B | |
| Dividends Paid | 210M | 927M | (1.0B) | (1.6B) | (1.8B) | (1.7B) | |
| Investments | 17M | (2.3B) | (5.2B) | (5.1B) | (4.6B) | (4.4B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (2.0B) | (4.4B) | (1.6B) | (294M) | (264.6M) | (277.8M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (868M) | (581M) | 2.4B | (111M) | (127.7M) | (121.3M) |
Cenovus Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cenovus Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cenovus Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cenovus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Cenovus Energy Volatility Alert
Cenovus Energy currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cenovus Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cenovus Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Cenovus Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Cenovus Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cenovus Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cenovus Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cenovus Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cenovus Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cenovus Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Cenovus Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Cenovus Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.048 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 44.68 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.89 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 29.23 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 54.83 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 40.51 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 14.01 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.88 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.75 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 57.73 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 10.17 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 9.59 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 3.14 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.69 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.91 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 10.63 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.54 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.73 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 11.69 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 9.23 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.77 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.27 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.45 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 19.89 | |
| Number Of Employees | 7.15 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.61 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 38.8 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 56.54 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 10.51 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 3.07 B | 1.48 B |
Cenovus Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cenovus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Cenovus Energy Target Price Consensus
Cenovus target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Cenovus Energy's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 19 | Strong Buy |
Most Cenovus analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Cenovus stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Cenovus Energy, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationCenovus Energy Target Price Projection
Cenovus Energy's current and average target prices are 20.57 and 19.89, respectively. The current price of Cenovus Energy is the price at which Cenovus Energy is currently trading. On the other hand, Cenovus Energy's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Cenovus Energy Market Quote on 8th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Cenovus Energy Target Price
Cenovus Energy Analyst Ratings
Cenovus Energy's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Cenovus Energy stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Cenovus Energy's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Cenovus Energy's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Cenovus Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Cenovus Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Cenovus Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Cenovus Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Treasury ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Treasury ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Treasury ETFs theme has 131 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Treasury ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Cenovus Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Cenovus Stock refer to our How to Trade Cenovus Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Will Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector continue expanding? Could Cenovus diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cenovus Energy. Projected growth potential of Cenovus fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cenovus Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.715 | Dividend Share 0.76 | Earnings Share 1.27 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Understanding Cenovus Energy requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Cenovus's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Cenovus Energy's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Cenovus Energy's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cenovus Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cenovus Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Cenovus Energy's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.