Cenovus Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CVE Stock  USD 17.53  0.61  3.61%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cenovus Energy is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Cenovus Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CVE positions. Check out Cenovus Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Cenovus Stock refer to our How to Trade Cenovus Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cenovus and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Cenovus Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.

Execute Cenovus Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Cenovus recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cenovus Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cenovus Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cenovus Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cenovus EnergyBuy Cenovus Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cenovus Energy has a Mean Deviation of 1.38, Semi Deviation of 1.79, Standard Deviation of 1.79, Variance of 3.21, Downside Variance of 3.63 and Semi Variance of 3.2
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Cenovus Energy and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Cenovus Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all Cenovus Energy fundamentals, including its cash per share, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Cenovus Energy has a price to earning of 14.01 X, we suggest you to validate Cenovus Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Cenovus Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cenovus Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 31st of December 2025 Cenovus Energy paid $ 0.1427 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: What Does Wall Street Think About Cenovus Energy Inc.

Cenovus Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cenovus Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cenovus Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cenovus Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cenovus Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cenovus Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cenovus Energy.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-3.15
Potential Upside
3.12
Standard Deviation
1.79
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cenovus Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cenovus Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Smead Capital Management Inc2025-06-30
17.6 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
17.3 M
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2025-06-30
16.9 M
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board2025-06-30
15.5 M
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
14 M
Bank Of Montreal2025-06-30
11.8 M
Bmo Capital Markets Corp.2025-06-30
11.8 M
Cibc World Markets Inc.2025-06-30
11.5 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
10.9 M
Capital World Investors2025-06-30
184.7 M
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32025-06-30
61.1 M
Note, although Cenovus Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cenovus Energy Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash2.5B1.7B(2.3B)866M995.9M1.0B
Free Cash Flow3.4B7.6B3.1B4.2B4.9B5.1B
Depreciation4.3B4.4B4.6B4.9B5.6B5.9B
Other Non Cash Items524M(628M)110M536M482.4M828.3M
Capital Expenditures2.6B3.8B4.3B5.0B5.8B6.1B
Net Income587M6.5B4.1B3.1B3.6B3.8B
End Period Cash Flow2.9B4.5B2.2B3.1B3.6B1.8B
Dividends Paid210M927M(1.0B)(1.6B)(1.4B)(1.3B)
Investments17M(2.3B)(5.2B)(5.1B)(4.6B)(4.4B)
Net Borrowings(2.0B)(4.4B)(1.6B)(294M)(264.6M)(277.8M)
Change To Netincome(868M)(581M)2.4B(111M)(127.7M)(121.3M)

Cenovus Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cenovus Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cenovus Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cenovus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.0041

Cenovus Energy Volatility Alert

Cenovus Energy has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.17 and kurtosis of 0.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cenovus Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cenovus Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cenovus Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cenovus Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cenovus Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cenovus Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cenovus Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cenovus Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cenovus Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cenovus Energy to competition
FundamentalsCenovus EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.048-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation39.08 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.89 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders29.21 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions53.30 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted90.48 M4.71 M
Price To Earning14.01 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.60 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.64 X11.42 X
Revenue57.73 B9.43 B
Gross Profit10.17 B27.38 B
EBITDA9.59 B3.9 B
Net Income3.14 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.69 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.91 X5.01 X
Total Debt10.63 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.54 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.73 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.66 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations9.23 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.50 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.26 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.45 X4.89 X
Target Price18.59
Number Of Employees7.15 K18.84 K
Beta0.72-0.15
Market Capitalization33.07 B19.03 B
Total Asset56.54 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings10.51 B9.33 B
Working Capital3.07 B1.48 B

Cenovus Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cenovus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Cenovus Energy Target Price Consensus

Cenovus target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Cenovus Energy's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   19  Strong Buy
Most Cenovus analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Cenovus stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Cenovus Energy, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Cenovus Energy Target Price Projection

Cenovus Energy's current and average target prices are 17.53 and 18.59, respectively. The current price of Cenovus Energy is the price at which Cenovus Energy is currently trading. On the other hand, Cenovus Energy's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Cenovus Energy Market Quote on 5th of January 2026

Low Price16.87Odds
High Price17.59Odds

17.53

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Cenovus Energy Target Price

Low Estimate16.91Odds
High Estimate20.63Odds

18.585

Historical Lowest Forecast  16.91 Target Price  18.59 Highest Forecast  20.63
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Cenovus Energy and the information provided on this page.

Cenovus Energy Analyst Ratings

Cenovus Energy's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Cenovus Energy stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Cenovus Energy's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Cenovus Energy's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Cenovus Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cenovus Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Cenovus Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cenovus Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Latest Gainers
Latest Gainers Theme
Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Gainers theme has 157 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Latest Gainers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Cenovus Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cenovus Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cenovus Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cenovus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cenovus Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Cenovus Stock refer to our How to Trade Cenovus Stock guide.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cenovus Energy. If investors know Cenovus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cenovus Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.715
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
1.26
Revenue Per Share
28.498
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Cenovus Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cenovus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cenovus Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cenovus Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cenovus Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cenovus Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cenovus Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cenovus Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cenovus Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.