Ecopetrol Sa Adr Stock Performance

EC Stock  USD 12.77  0.01  0.08%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ecopetrol holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ecopetrol's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ecopetrol is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ecopetrol's maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Ecopetrol's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ecopetrol SA ADR are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather conflicting fundamental indicators, Ecopetrol exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.0784
Five Day Return
2.16
Year To Date Return
24.95
Ten Year Return
98.29
All Time Return
(48.40)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1874
Payout Ratio
0.0017
Forward Dividend Rate
2.39
Dividend Date
2025-05-06
Ex Dividend Date
2025-06-26
1
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11/03/2025
2
FRONTERA ANNOUNCES THIRD QUARTER 2025 RESULTS
11/14/2025
3
Disposition of 35284 shares by Wolynic Edward T of Ecopetrol at 29.95 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
4
Arrow Announces Appraisal Well M-HZ7 Results
12/18/2025
5
Renegotiations of Collective Bargaining Agreement with Unin Sindical Obrera
12/29/2025
6
Oil Eyes Supply Disruptions as Venezuela Rebuild Talk Falls Flat
01/06/2026
7
Vallourec wins contract from Shell for Orca project offshore Brazil
01/13/2026
8
Indian Oil Corporation Turns to Ecuador to Fill Russian Crude Gap
01/14/2026
9
Ecopetrol Announces Hydrocarbon-Producing Departments Nominee to the Board of Directors on Slate Proposed by Government of Colombia
01/20/2026
10
The cost of equity in Latin America Models and embedded risks
01/22/2026
11
Sharp Expands dvLED Display Product Line with New EC Series
01/26/2026
12
Colombia blasts Ecuadors pipeline fee hike as trade war between neighbors escalates
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow14 T
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-26 T

Ecopetrol Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  944.00  in Ecopetrol SA ADR on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  333.00  from holding Ecopetrol SA ADR or generate 35.28% return on investment over 90 days. Ecopetrol SA ADR is generating 0.5271% of daily returns and assumes 2.1303% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 19% of stocks are less risky than Ecopetrol on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 90% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol is expected to generate 2.83 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.83 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Ecopetrol Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ecopetrol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.77 90 days 12.77 
about 1.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ecopetrol to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.26 (This Ecopetrol SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Ecopetrol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ecopetrol average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ecopetrol SA ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ecopetrol SA ADR has an alpha of 0.5103, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ecopetrol Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ecopetrol

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ecopetrol SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ecopetrol's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6612.7714.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5814.6916.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5912.7114.82
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.039.9311.02
Details

Ecopetrol Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ecopetrol is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ecopetrol's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ecopetrol SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ecopetrol within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Ecopetrol Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ecopetrol for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ecopetrol SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Ecopetrol Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ecopetrol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ecopetrol's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ecopetrol's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments14.9 T

Ecopetrol Fundamentals Growth

Ecopetrol Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ecopetrol, and Ecopetrol fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ecopetrol Stock performance.

About Ecopetrol Performance

By analyzing Ecopetrol's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ecopetrol's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ecopetrol has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ecopetrol has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 38.09  30.36 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.20 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.09 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.14 

Things to note about Ecopetrol SA ADR performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ecopetrol for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ecopetrol SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Ecopetrol's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ecopetrol's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ecopetrol's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ecopetrol's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ecopetrol's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ecopetrol's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ecopetrol's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ecopetrol's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ecopetrol's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ecopetrol's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ecopetrol's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Ecopetrol Stock analysis

When running Ecopetrol's price analysis, check to measure Ecopetrol's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ecopetrol is operating at the current time. Most of Ecopetrol's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ecopetrol's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ecopetrol's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ecopetrol to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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