Ecopetrol Valuation

EC Stock  USD 8.19  0.11  1.36%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Ecopetrol SA ADR shows a prevailing Real Value of $9.44 per share. The current price of the firm is $8.19. Our model computes the value of Ecopetrol SA ADR from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 2.06 B, current valuation of 39.5 B, and Profit Margin of 0.11 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Ecopetrol's valuation include:
Price Book
1.0475
Enterprise Value
39.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
4.5312
Price Sales
0.0001
Forward PE
5.3362
Undervalued
Today
8.19
Please note that Ecopetrol's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ecopetrol SA ADR is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ecopetrol's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Ecopetrol is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ecopetrol Stock. However, Ecopetrol's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.19 Real  9.44 Target  12.93 Hype  8.15 Naive  8.39
The real value of Ecopetrol Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Ecopetrol SA ADR Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Ecopetrol's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Ecopetrol's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
9.44
Real Value
11.31
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ecopetrol SA ADR helps investors to forecast how Ecopetrol stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ecopetrol more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ecopetrol's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.430.430.44
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.288.1510.02
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.092.022.95
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.7712.9314.35
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Ecopetrol's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Ecopetrol's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Ecopetrol's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Ecopetrol we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Ecopetrol Cash

7.75 Trillion

Ecopetrol Valuation Trend

Comparing Ecopetrol's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Ecopetrol SA ADR uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Ecopetrol Total Value Analysis

Ecopetrol SA ADR is currently forecasted to have takeover value of 39.5 B with market capitalization of 16.61 B, debt of 105.82 T, and cash on hands of 15.4 T. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Ecopetrol fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
39.5 B
16.61 B
105.82 T
15.4 T

Ecopetrol Investor Information

The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ecopetrol SA ADR has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.3. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of June 2024. Based on the analysis of Ecopetrol's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Ecopetrol SA ADR is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.320.3392
Notably Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities17.1 T19.8 T
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income43.8 T41.8 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Ecopetrol Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ecopetrol has an asset utilization ratio of 43.62 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.44 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ecopetrol SA ADR is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Ecopetrol Ownership Allocation

Ecopetrol holds a total of 2.06 Billion outstanding shares. Roughly 98.63 percent of Ecopetrol outstanding shares are held by general public with 1.37 % by other corporate entities. On March 6, 2014, Senator Thomas R Carper of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of Ecopetrol SA ADR's common stock.

Ecopetrol Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 123.12 T. Reported Net Income was 19.06 T with gross profit of 81.43 T.

Ecopetrol Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Ecopetrol's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Ecopetrol and how it compares across the competition.

About Ecopetrol Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Ecopetrol's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ecopetrol. We calculate exposure to Ecopetrol's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ecopetrol's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit36 T23.7 T
Pretax Profit Margin 0.30  0.29 
Operating Profit Margin 0.34  0.32 
Net Profit Margin 0.15  0.18 
Gross Profit Margin 0.29  0.41 
Ecopetrol's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Ecopetrol's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Ecopetrol can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Ecopetrol represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Ecopetrol, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Ecopetrol Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At present, Ecopetrol's Dividend Payout Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is expected to grow to 1.28, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0. . At present, Ecopetrol's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid5.6 T7.4 T
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.29  0.54 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.67  1.28 
There are various types of dividends Ecopetrol can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Ecopetrol shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Ecopetrol SA ADR directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Ecopetrol pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Ecopetrol by the value of the dividends paid out.

Ecopetrol Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.283
Forward Price Earnings5.3362

Ecopetrol Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Ecopetrol SA ADR and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Ecopetrol we look at many different elements of the entity such as Ecopetrol's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Ecopetrol, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Ecopetrol's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Ecopetrol's worth.

Complementary Tools for Ecopetrol Stock analysis

When running Ecopetrol's price analysis, check to measure Ecopetrol's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ecopetrol is operating at the current time. Most of Ecopetrol's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ecopetrol's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ecopetrol's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ecopetrol to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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