Ecopetrol Sa Adr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| EC Stock | USD 9.67 0.63 6.97% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ecopetrol SA ADR is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Ecopetrol buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EC positions.
Check out Ecopetrol Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ecopetrol and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ecopetrol SA ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Ecopetrol |
Execute Ecopetrol Buy or Sell Advice
The Ecopetrol recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ecopetrol SA ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ecopetrol SA ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ecopetrol's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Ecopetrol Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ecopetrol SA ADR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: ECOPETROL S.A. reports on the decision adopted by the Court of the Southern District of New York on the arbitration ruling issued in favor of Refinera de Cartagena S.A.S. |
Ecopetrol Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ecopetrol's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ecopetrol's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ecopetrol daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ecopetrol SA ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ecopetrol returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ecopetrol.
| Mean Return | 0.30 | Value At Risk | -2.76 | Potential Upside | 4.45 | Standard Deviation | 2.03 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ecopetrol historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ecopetrol Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 425.1 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 316.4 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 309.9 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 305 K | Balyasny Asset Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 294.5 K | State Street Corp | 2024-09-30 | 271.2 K | Capital Wealth Planning, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 239.9 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 222.3 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-09-30 | 164.4 K | Gqg Partners Llc | 2024-09-30 | 12.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M |
Ecopetrol Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (2.0T) | 9.5T | 851B | (3.1T) | (2.8T) | (2.6T) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.9T) | 9.2T | 14.4T | (4.3T) | (4.9T) | (4.7T) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 8.1T | 11.0T | 5.2T | 17.9T | 20.6T | 21.6T | |
| Dividends Paid | 8.7T | 2.8T | 13.4T | 5.6T | 6.4T | 7.4T | |
| Capital Expenditures | 11.1T | 13.3T | 21.9T | 24.1T | 27.7T | 29.1T | |
| Net Income | 1.7T | 16.7T | 33.4T | 19.1T | 21.9T | 23.0T | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5.1T | 14.6T | 15.4T | 12.3T | 14.2T | 7.4T | |
| Change To Inventory | 716.1B | (3.0T) | (2.8T) | 808.1B | 727.3B | 763.7B | |
| Depreciation | 9.3T | 10.2T | 12.1T | 14.3T | 16.4T | 17.3T | |
| Investments | (8.5T) | 1.6T | (18.1T) | (20.0T) | (18.0T) | (17.1T) | |
| Net Borrowings | (8.8T) | (1.5T) | 8.5T | 13.1T | 15.0T | 15.8T | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.8T | 560B | 8.4T | 22.3T | 25.7T | 27.0T |
Ecopetrol Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ecopetrol or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ecopetrol's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ecopetrol stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Ecopetrol Volatility Alert
Ecopetrol SA ADR has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.82 and kurtosis of 1.35. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ecopetrol's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ecopetrol's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ecopetrol Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ecopetrol's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ecopetrol's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ecopetrol and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ecopetrol or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ecopetrol's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ecopetrol by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ecopetrol to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ecopetrol | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.21 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.079 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.27 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 42.28 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.06 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.33 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 14.41 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.84 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.20 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.0001 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 143.08 T | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 49.94 T | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 59.83 T | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 19.06 T | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 15.4 T | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.43 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 105.82 T | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.46 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1,907 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 19.8 T | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.54 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.98 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.30 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 8.68 | |
| Beta | 0.69 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 19.88 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 282.28 T | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 20.6 T | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 25.05 T | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 19.87 T | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 17.43 T | 7.9 B |
Note: Disposition of 185808 shares by Perry Barry W of Ecopetrol at 28.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ecopetrol Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ecopetrol . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 389508.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.086207 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.41 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.58 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.63 |
About Ecopetrol Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ecopetrol SA ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Ecopetrol Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ecopetrol in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Ecopetrol Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ecopetrol. If investors know Ecopetrol will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ecopetrol listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Earnings Share 1.98 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Ecopetrol SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ecopetrol that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ecopetrol's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ecopetrol's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ecopetrol's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ecopetrol's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ecopetrol's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ecopetrol is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ecopetrol's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.