Greene County Bancorp Stock Performance

GCBC Stock  USD 24.92  0.56  2.30%   
Greene County has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.97, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Greene County returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Greene County is expected to follow. Greene County Bancorp right now retains a risk of 2.25%. Please check out Greene County total risk alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to decide if Greene County will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Greene County Bancorp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain fundamental drivers, Greene County may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.33
Five Day Return
10.98
Year To Date Return
11.95
Ten Year Return
213.51
All Time Return
1.9 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0176
Payout Ratio
0.1917
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.4
Dividend Date
2025-11-28
1
Acquisition by Hada Tejraj S of 366 shares of Greene County at 22.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
2
Acquisition by John Antalek of 1500 shares of Greene County at 22.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/18/2025
3
Tejraj Hada Purchases 1,000 Shares of Greene County Bancorp Stock - MarketBeat
11/25/2025
 
Greene County dividend paid on 28th of November 2025
11/28/2025
4
Greene County Bancorp Shares Pass Above Fifty Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
12/02/2025
5
Greene County Bancorp, Inc. Recognized as a Top-Performing Bank in Piper Sandlers Class of 2025 Bank Thrift Small-Cap All Stars
12/09/2025
6
Acquisition by Hada Tejraj S of 1000 shares of Greene County at 24.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/18/2025
7
Will Greene County Bancorp Inc. stock gain from strong economy - July 2025 Opening Moves Community Verified Trade Alerts - DonanmHaber
12/19/2025
8
Acquisition by Hada Tejraj S of 6612 shares of Greene County at 22.95 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
9
Greene County Bancorp, Inc. Delivers Net Income of 10.3 Million for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2025, the Highest Quarterly Earnings in the Banks 137-Year Hi...
01/21/2026
10
Volatility Zones as Tactical Triggers - Stock Traders Daily
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow190.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-210.2 M

Greene County Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,235  in Greene County Bancorp on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  201.00  from holding Greene County Bancorp or generate 8.99% return on investment over 90 days. Greene County Bancorp is currently generating 0.1683% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.2531% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Greene, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Greene County is expected to generate 2.99 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.99 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Greene County Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Greene Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.92 90 days 24.92 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greene County to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Greene County Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Greene Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Greene County has a beta of 0.97. This usually indicates Greene County Bancorp market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Greene County is expected to follow. Additionally Greene County Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1274, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Greene County Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Greene County

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greene County Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.7625.0127.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.4329.4131.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.7424.9927.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.0923.0324.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Greene County. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Greene County's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Greene County's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Greene County Bancorp.

Greene County Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greene County is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greene County's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greene County Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greene County within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Greene County Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greene County for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greene County Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Volatility Zones as Tactical Triggers - Stock Traders Daily

Greene County Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greene Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greene County's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greene County's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17 M
Cash And Short Term Investments504.3 M

Greene County Fundamentals Growth

Greene Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Greene County, and Greene County fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Greene Stock performance.

About Greene County Performance

By analyzing Greene County's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Greene County's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Greene County has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Greene County has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.09 

Things to note about Greene County Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Greene County for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Greene County Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Volatility Zones as Tactical Triggers - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating Greene County's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Greene County's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Greene County's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Greene County's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Greene County's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Greene County's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Greene County's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Greene County's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Greene County's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Greene County's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Greene County's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Greene County's price analysis, check to measure Greene County's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greene County is operating at the current time. Most of Greene County's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greene County's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greene County's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greene County to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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