Geron Stock Performance
| GERN Stock | USD 1.65 0.02 1.23% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Geron holds a performance score of 16. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.93, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Geron will likely underperform. Please check Geron's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Geron's current trending patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Geron are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Geron displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor 1058:1000 | Last Split Date 2014-07-22 |
1 | Is Geron Corporation stock a buy before new product rollout - Portfolio Return Summary Real-Time Buy Signal Notifications - Newser | 12/04/2025 |
2 | Geron Corporation Restructuring to Lower Operating Expenses as it Eyes Profitability in 2026 | 12/18/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Feller Faye of 112500 shares of Geron at 1.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/26/2025 |
4 | Geron Plans Restructuring to Cut Costs, H.C. Wainwright Stays Neutral | 01/07/2026 |
5 | Geron Corporation Provides 2026 Financial Guidance | 01/12/2026 |
6 | Geron Corporation Streamlines Operations, Secures Financing, Eyes 2026 Growth | 01/14/2026 |
7 | Geron Corporation Nasdaq Index Clinical-Stage Biotech Profile | 01/23/2026 |
8 | TD Cowen Maintains Buy Rating for Geron While Trimming PT to 3 Ahead of Q4 Results | 01/30/2026 |
9 | Geron Corporations Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares | 02/03/2026 |
10 | Geron Plans to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results on February 25, 2026 | 02/11/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 71.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -106 M |
Geron Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 113.00 in Geron on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 53.00 from holding Geron or generate 46.9% return on investment over 90 days. Geron is currently generating 0.6878% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.3865% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Geron, and 87% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Geron Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Geron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.65 | 90 days | 1.65 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Geron to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Geron probability density function shows the probability of Geron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Geron Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Geron
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Geron. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Geron Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Geron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Geron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Geron, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Geron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Geron Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Geron for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Geron can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Geron may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Geron appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 76.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (174.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 97.86 M. | |
| Geron currently holds about 219.29 M in cash with (218.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Geron Plans to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results on February 25, 2026 |
Geron Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Geron Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Geron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 646 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 406.6 M |
Geron Fundamentals Growth
Geron Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Geron, and Geron fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Geron Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.3 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0779 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.44) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.29) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 781.9 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 638.36 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (12.48) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.18 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 5.74 X | ||||
| Revenue | 76.99 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 97.86 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (154.85 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (174.57 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 219.29 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.58 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 121.72 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.39 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 4.85 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.39 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (218.62 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.12) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.05 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 593.78 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.77 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 402.69 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 115.89 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 6.63 M | ||||
About Geron Performance
By examining Geron's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Geron's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Geron is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 10.1 K | 10.6 K | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.26) | (0.28) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.40) | (0.42) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.26) | (0.28) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.72) | (0.75) |
Things to note about Geron performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Geron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Geron help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Geron may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Geron appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 76.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (174.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 97.86 M. | |
| Geron currently holds about 219.29 M in cash with (218.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Geron Plans to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results on February 25, 2026 |
- Analyzing Geron's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Geron's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Geron's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Geron's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Geron's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Geron's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Geron's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geron. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. To learn how to invest in Geron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Geron guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Geron diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geron. Market participants price Geron higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Geron data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.12) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.671 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Geron requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Geron's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Geron's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Geron's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Geron's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.