Geron Stock Performance

GERN Stock  USD 4.17  0.11  2.71%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.13, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Geron returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Geron is expected to follow. At this point, Geron has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to check out Geron's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Geron performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Geron has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.71
Five Day Return
4.77
Year To Date Return
94.86
Ten Year Return
13.32
All Time Return
(43.11)
Last Split Factor
1058:1000
Last Split Date
2014-07-22
1
Disposition of 1600000 shares by Ziegler James of Geron at 4.41 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/09/2024
2
Rams place Puka Nacua, two offensive linemen on injured list and sign help
09/11/2024
3
Acquisition by Ofarrell Elizabeth G. of 180000 shares of Geron at 3.88 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/17/2024
4
Is Geron Corporation the Best NASDAQ Stock Under 5
10/03/2024
5
Geron Receives New Coverage from Analysts at Scotiabank
10/17/2024
6
Geron Corporation Announces Up to 375 Million in Funding with Royalty Pharma and Pharmakon Advisors
11/07/2024
7
Geron Corp Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Rytelo Launch and Strategic ...
11/08/2024
8
Gerons SWOT analysis oncology biotech stock poised for growth
11/12/2024
9
RA Capital Managements Strategic Acquisition of Geron Corp Shares
11/15/2024
10
Geron Reports Inducement Grants Under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635
11/21/2024
11
Insider Trading
11/22/2024
12
Geron to Participate in the 7th Annual Evercore ISI HealthCONx Conference
11/27/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow57.2 M
  

Geron Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  475.00  in Geron on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (58.00) from holding Geron or give up 12.21% of portfolio value over 90 days. Geron is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.8846% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Geron, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Geron is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.74 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Geron Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Geron's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Geron, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Geron's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0562

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Negative ReturnsGERN

Estimated Market Risk

 2.88
  actual daily
25
75% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.16
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.06
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Geron is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Geron by adding Geron to a well-diversified portfolio.

Geron Fundamentals Growth

Geron Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Geron, and Geron fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Geron Stock performance.

About Geron Performance

By examining Geron's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Geron's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Geron is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand-1.5 K-1.4 K
Return On Tangible Assets(0.47)(0.49)
Return On Capital Employed(0.68)(0.71)
Return On Assets(0.47)(0.49)
Return On Equity(0.74)(0.78)

Things to note about Geron performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Geron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Geron help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Geron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 237 K. Net Loss for the year was (184.13 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (93.67 M).
Geron currently holds about 219.29 M in cash with (167.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58.
Geron has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Geron to Participate in the 7th Annual Evercore ISI HealthCONx Conference
Evaluating Geron's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Geron's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Geron's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Geron's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Geron's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Geron's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Geron's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Geron's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Geron's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Geron's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Geron's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Geron offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geron's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geron Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geron Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geron. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Geron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Geron guide.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geron. If investors know Geron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geron listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.33)
Revenue Per Share
0.047
Quarterly Revenue Growth
171.384
Return On Assets
(0.30)
Return On Equity
(0.69)
The market value of Geron is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geron's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geron's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geron's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geron's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geron's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.