Graphic Packaging Holding Stock Performance
| GPK Stock | USD 12.89 0.49 3.66% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.35, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Graphic Packaging will likely underperform. At this point, Graphic Packaging Holding has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to check out Graphic Packaging's variance, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day typical price , to decide if Graphic Packaging Holding performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Graphic Packaging Holding has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.75 | Five Day Return (1.33) | Year To Date Return (11.68) | Ten Year Return 12.53 | All Time Return 214.08 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0332 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 9:5 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.44 | Dividend Date 2026-01-07 |
1 | Insider Trading | 12/26/2025 |
| Graphic Packaging dividend paid on 7th of January 2026 | 01/07/2026 |
2 | IT Tech Packaging Trading Down 0.6 percent Heres What Happened | 01/08/2026 |
3 | Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd Takes 2.68 Million Position in Graphic Packaging Holding Company GPK | 01/28/2026 |
4 | Graphic Packaging Holding To Report Earnings Tomorrow Here Is What To Expect | 02/02/2026 |
5 | Graphic Packaging Updates Shape Russell 1000 Industrial Activity | 02/03/2026 |
6 | Graphic Packaging Earnings Call Transcript | 02/04/2026 |
7 | Graphic Packaging Holding Company Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US14.63 Price Target | 02/06/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 157 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -745 M |
Graphic Packaging Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,601 in Graphic Packaging Holding on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (263.00) from holding Graphic Packaging Holding or give up 16.43% of portfolio value over 90 days. Graphic Packaging Holding is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.2155% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than Graphic, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Graphic Packaging Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Graphic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.89 | 90 days | 12.89 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graphic Packaging to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Graphic Packaging Holding probability density function shows the probability of Graphic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Graphic Packaging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Graphic Packaging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graphic Packaging Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Graphic Packaging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graphic Packaging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graphic Packaging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graphic Packaging Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graphic Packaging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Graphic Packaging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graphic Packaging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graphic Packaging Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Graphic Packaging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Graphic Packaging has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Graphic Packaging is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Graphic Packaging has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 7th of January 2026 Graphic Packaging paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Trading |
Graphic Packaging Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graphic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graphic Packaging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graphic Packaging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 296.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 261 M |
Graphic Packaging Fundamentals Growth
Graphic Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Graphic Packaging, and Graphic Packaging fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Graphic Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.046 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 9.23 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 295.13 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 17.46 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.17 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.45 X | ||||
| Revenue | 8.62 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.6 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.34 B | ||||
| Net Income | 444 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 261 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.27 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 5.57 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.81 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.30 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.30 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 854 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.48 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 3.92 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 11.78 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.61 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 881 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.07 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 732.2 M | ||||
About Graphic Packaging Performance
By examining Graphic Packaging's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Graphic Packaging's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Graphic Packaging is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 91.34 | 51.98 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.09 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | 0.14 |
Things to note about Graphic Packaging Holding performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Graphic Packaging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Graphic Packaging Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Graphic Packaging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Graphic Packaging has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Graphic Packaging is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Graphic Packaging has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 7th of January 2026 Graphic Packaging paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Trading |
- Analyzing Graphic Packaging's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Graphic Packaging's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Graphic Packaging's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Graphic Packaging's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Graphic Packaging's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Graphic Packaging's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Graphic Packaging's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Graphic Packaging Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graphic Packaging. Market participants price Graphic higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Graphic Packaging assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Dividend Share 0.44 | Earnings Share 1.48 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
The market value of Graphic Packaging Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graphic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graphic Packaging's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graphic Packaging's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graphic Packaging's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graphic Packaging's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graphic Packaging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graphic Packaging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Graphic Packaging's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.