Mastercard Stock Performance
| MA Stock | USD 521.37 0.96 0.18% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.98, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Mastercard returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mastercard is expected to follow. At this point, Mastercard has a negative expected return of -0.0833%. Please make sure to verify Mastercard's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Mastercard performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Mastercard has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Mastercard is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.18 | Five Day Return (1.89) | Year To Date Return (7.42) | Ten Year Return 524.92 | All Time Return 11.2 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0067 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 10:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 3.48 | Dividend Date 2026-02-09 |
| Mastercard dividend paid on 7th of November 2025 | 11/07/2025 |
1 | Acquisition by Richard Davis of 458 shares of Mastercard subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/05/2025 |
2 | Is Mastercard Pricing Fair After Recent Digital Payments Partnerships And Premium PE Ratio | 01/08/2026 |
| Mastercard dividend paid on 9th of January 2026 | 01/09/2026 |
3 | Bilts New Credit Cards New Tiers, New Rewards, and No Transaction Fees | 01/14/2026 |
4 | Visa vs. Mastercard Which Payments Giant Looks More Attractive Now | 01/21/2026 |
5 | Top Financial Stocks To Research January 22nd | 01/22/2026 |
6 | More than half of solopreneurs making less then 50,000 a year, study reveals | 01/23/2026 |
7 | Looming RBA surcharge ban could trigger credit card backlash Wont keep paying | 01/26/2026 |
8 | Fed almost incidental to market swirl | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 10.5 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -3.4 B |
Mastercard | Build AI portfolio with Mastercard Stock |
Mastercard Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 55,116 in Mastercard on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,979) from holding Mastercard or give up 5.4% of portfolio value over 90 days. Mastercard is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.2565% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 11% of stocks are less risky than Mastercard on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Mastercard Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Mastercard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 521.37 | 90 days | 521.37 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mastercard to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Mastercard probability density function shows the probability of Mastercard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Mastercard has a beta of 0.98. This indicates Mastercard market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mastercard is expected to follow. Additionally Mastercard has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mastercard Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mastercard
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mastercard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mastercard Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mastercard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mastercard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mastercard, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mastercard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Mastercard Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mastercard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mastercard can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mastercard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 9th of January 2026 Mastercard paid $ 0.87 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fed almost incidental to market swirl |
Mastercard Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mastercard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mastercard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mastercard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 927 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.8 B |
Mastercard Fundamentals Growth
Mastercard Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mastercard, and Mastercard fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mastercard Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 1.85 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.23 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.45 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.60 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 475.66 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 891.26 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 35.09 X | |||
| Price To Book | 59.13 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 14.97 X | |||
| Revenue | 28.17 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 31.47 B | |||
| EBITDA | 16.8 B | |||
| Net Income | 12.87 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 8.44 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 8.37 X | |||
| Total Debt | 18.23 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 2.25 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.25 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.78 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.78 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 15.64 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 471.32 B | |||
| Total Asset | 48.08 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 72.91 B | |||
| Working Capital | 504 M | |||
| Current Asset | 10.98 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 6.27 B | |||
About Mastercard Performance
By analyzing Mastercard's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Mastercard's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Mastercard has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Mastercard has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.35 | 0.36 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.49 | 0.27 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.24 | 0.13 | |
| Return On Equity | 1.79 | 1.88 |
Things to note about Mastercard performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mastercard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mastercard help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mastercard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 9th of January 2026 Mastercard paid $ 0.87 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fed almost incidental to market swirl |
- Analyzing Mastercard's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mastercard's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Mastercard's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Mastercard's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mastercard's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mastercard's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mastercard's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Mastercard Stock analysis
When running Mastercard's price analysis, check to measure Mastercard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mastercard is operating at the current time. Most of Mastercard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mastercard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mastercard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mastercard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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