Mgp Ingredients Stock Performance
| MGPI Stock | USD 18.69 0.18 0.97% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.9, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. MGP Ingredients returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MGP Ingredients is expected to follow. At this point, MGP Ingredients has a negative expected return of -0.41%. Please make sure to verify MGP Ingredients' treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if MGP Ingredients performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days MGP Ingredients has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (3.44) | Five Day Return (9.26) | Year To Date Return (23.16) | Ten Year Return (25.03) | All Time Return 276.22 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0259 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.48 | Dividend Date 2026-03-27 |
1 | Disposition of 2451 shares by Seaberg Karen of MGP Ingredients at 24.22 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/09/2025 |
2 | Why MGP Ingredients Stock Is Trading Lower Today | 12/11/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Roper Martin of 1594 shares of MGP Ingredients at 24.3 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Siwak Todd B. of 476 shares of MGP Ingredients at .37 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/06/2026 |
5 | Will MGP Ingredients Inc. stock outperform growth indexes - July 2025 Opening Moves Verified Momentum Stock Ideas - ulpravda.ru | 01/08/2026 |
6 | Rebel Bourbon brings back Rebel Root Beer | 01/13/2026 |
7 | Nordea Investment Management AB Purchases Shares of 72,126 MGP Ingredients, Inc. MGPI - MarketBeat | 01/20/2026 |
8 | MGP Ingredients Nasdaq Index Signals Spirits Scale | 01/28/2026 |
9 | MGP Ingredients Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings - The Globe and Mail | 02/05/2026 |
10 | 1 Small-Cap Stock with Exciting Potential and 2 We Turn Down - Yahoo Finance | 02/12/2026 |
11 | Disposition of 1527 shares by Amel Pasagic of MGP Ingredients at 25.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/13/2026 |
12 | Rebel Bourbon rolls out Rebel Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey Single Barrel 2026 Selected By Kyle Busch | 02/17/2026 |
13 | Disposition of 346 shares by Amel Pasagic of MGP Ingredients at 25.93 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/20/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 25.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -45.5 M |
MGP Ingredients Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,470 in MGP Ingredients on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (619.00) from holding MGP Ingredients or give up 25.06% of portfolio value over 90 days. MGP Ingredients is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.5214% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than MGP, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
MGP Ingredients Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of MGP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.69 | 90 days | 18.69 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MGP Ingredients to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This MGP Ingredients probability density function shows the probability of MGP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
MGP Ingredients Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MGP Ingredients
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MGP Ingredients. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MGP Ingredients Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MGP Ingredients is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MGP Ingredients' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MGP Ingredients, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MGP Ingredients within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
MGP Ingredients Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MGP Ingredients for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MGP Ingredients can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MGP Ingredients generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MGP Ingredients has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 536.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (107.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 199.41 M. | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Rebel Bourbon rolls out Rebel Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey Single Barrel 2026 Selected By Kyle Busch |
MGP Ingredients Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MGP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MGP Ingredients' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MGP Ingredients' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.5 M |
MGP Ingredients Fundamentals Growth
MGP Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MGP Ingredients, and MGP Ingredients fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MGP Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.14 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0395 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.20) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 674.76 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 21.29 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 53.02 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.48 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.73 X | ||||
| Revenue | 536.38 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 199.41 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (69.22 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (107.83 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 37.41 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.70 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 213.14 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.35 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 4.53 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 33.90 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 121.53 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (4.99) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 394.16 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.24 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 445.74 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 322.66 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 91.18 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 37.66 M | ||||
About MGP Ingredients Performance
By evaluating MGP Ingredients' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MGP Ingredients' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MGP Ingredients has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MGP Ingredients has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 414.58 | 435.31 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.12) | (0.12) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.09) | (0.09) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.09) | (0.08) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.15) | (0.14) |
Things to note about MGP Ingredients performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about MGP Ingredients for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MGP Ingredients help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MGP Ingredients generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MGP Ingredients has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 536.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (107.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 199.41 M. | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Rebel Bourbon rolls out Rebel Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey Single Barrel 2026 Selected By Kyle Busch |
- Analyzing MGP Ingredients' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MGP Ingredients' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining MGP Ingredients' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating MGP Ingredients' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MGP Ingredients' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MGP Ingredients' stock. These opinions can provide insight into MGP Ingredients' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for MGP Stock analysis
When running MGP Ingredients' price analysis, check to measure MGP Ingredients' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MGP Ingredients is operating at the current time. Most of MGP Ingredients' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MGP Ingredients' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MGP Ingredients' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MGP Ingredients to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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