Pbf Energy Stock Performance

PBF Stock  USD 35.50  0.21  0.60%   
The firm holds a Beta of 1.94, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PBF Energy will likely underperform. At this point, PBF Energy has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to check PBF Energy's standard deviation, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if PBF Energy performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days PBF Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.27)
Five Day Return
3.23
Year To Date Return
20.89
Ten Year Return
15.97
All Time Return
31.39
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0312
Payout Ratio
0.1537
Forward Dividend Rate
1.1
Dividend Date
2025-11-26
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-14
1
Disposition of 25997 shares by O Connor Thomas L of PBF Energy at 6.72 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/10/2025
 
PBF Energy dividend paid on 14th of November 2025
11/14/2025
 
PBF Energy dividend paid on 26th of November 2025
11/26/2025
2
PBF Energy among the energy stocks that fell this week - MSN
12/24/2025
3
PBF Energy Moves 13.9 percent Higher Will This Strength Last
01/09/2026
4
PBF Energy Double Upgraded to Overweight
01/13/2026
5
Performance locks in long-term aframax cover
01/20/2026
6
Disposition of 40000 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 33.7945 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
7
Level 1 Alert Near Refinery For Contra Costa County
01/26/2026
8
Disposition of 35000 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 34.0676 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/29/2026
9
Disposition of 60000 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 33.4615 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
10
Disposition of 140659 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 34.096 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
11
Disposition of 259600 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 35.2764 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1 B

PBF Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,953  in PBF Energy on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (424.00) from holding PBF Energy or give up 10.73% of portfolio value over 90 days. PBF Energy is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.7881% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than PBF, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon PBF Energy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

PBF Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PBF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.50 90 days 35.50 
about 21.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PBF Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.08 (This PBF Energy probability density function shows the probability of PBF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.94 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PBF Energy will likely underperform. Additionally PBF Energy has an alpha of 0.0346, implying that it can generate a 0.0346 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PBF Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PBF Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PBF Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.5335.3239.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.5130.3038.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.9033.6937.47
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.0531.9235.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PBF Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PBF Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PBF Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PBF Energy.

PBF Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PBF Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PBF Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PBF Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PBF Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.94
σ
Overall volatility
3.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

PBF Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PBF Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PBF Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PBF Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PBF Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 33.12 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (540.2 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (9.8 M).
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 140659 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 34.096 subject to Rule 16b-3

PBF Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PBF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PBF Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PBF Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments536.1 M

PBF Energy Fundamentals Growth

PBF Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PBF Energy, and PBF Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PBF Stock performance.

About PBF Energy Performance

By analyzing PBF Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into PBF Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if PBF Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if PBF Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 32.53  30.90 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Capital Employed(0.09)(0.08)
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Equity(0.09)(0.09)

Things to note about PBF Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PBF Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PBF Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PBF Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PBF Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 33.12 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (540.2 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (9.8 M).
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 140659 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 34.096 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating PBF Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PBF Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PBF Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PBF Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PBF Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PBF Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PBF Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PBF Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into PBF Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PBF Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PBF Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for PBF Stock analysis

When running PBF Energy's price analysis, check to measure PBF Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PBF Energy is operating at the current time. Most of PBF Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PBF Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PBF Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PBF Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal