Peloton Interactive Stock Performance
| PTON Stock | USD 5.59 0.14 2.44% |
The company holds a Beta of 1.59, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Peloton Interactive will likely underperform. At this point, Peloton Interactive has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to check Peloton Interactive's skewness, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if Peloton Interactive performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Peloton Interactive has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.44) | Five Day Return (3.29) | Year To Date Return (8.66) | Ten Year Return (78.30) | All Time Return (78.30) |
1 | Disposition of 2387 shares by Saqib Baig of Peloton Interactive at 6.9705 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/19/2025 |
2 | Is Pelotons AI Push Enough to Revitalize Membership Growth and Brand Momentum | 12/01/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 6349 shares by Hoag Jay C of Peloton Interactive subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/03/2025 |
4 | Saqib Baig Sells 5,000 Shares of Peloton Interactive Stock | 12/12/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Peter Stern of 282486 shares of Peloton Interactive subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 124405 shares by Peter Stern of Peloton Interactive at 6.0359 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 75762 shares by Nick Caldwell of Peloton Interactive at 7.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/09/2026 |
8 | Disposition of 25135 shares by Nick Caldwell of Peloton Interactive at 7.0001 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/13/2026 |
9 | Peloton Stock What Needs to Go Right for a Long-Term Comeback Story | 01/15/2026 |
10 | Disposition of 22520 shares by Charles Kirol of Peloton Interactive at 6.4676 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/16/2026 |
11 | Disposition of 3399 shares by Charles Kirol of Peloton Interactive at 5.8532 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/21/2026 |
12 | Peloton Interactive, Inc. Announces Date of Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call | 01/22/2026 |
13 | Can Peloton Turn Menopause Study Momentum Into a Durable Womens Health Brand Advantage | 01/27/2026 |
14 | Zacks Research Upgrades Peloton Interactive to Strong-Buy | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 750.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -5.1 M |
Peloton Interactive Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 727.00 in Peloton Interactive on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (168.00) from holding Peloton Interactive or give up 23.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. Peloton Interactive is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.4196% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Peloton, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Peloton Interactive Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Peloton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.59 | 90 days | 5.59 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Peloton Interactive to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Peloton Interactive probability density function shows the probability of Peloton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Peloton Interactive will likely underperform. Additionally Peloton Interactive has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Peloton Interactive Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Peloton Interactive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peloton Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Peloton Interactive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Peloton Interactive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Peloton Interactive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Peloton Interactive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Peloton Interactive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Peloton Interactive Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Peloton Interactive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Peloton Interactive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Peloton Interactive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Peloton Interactive has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Peloton Interactive has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (118.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.25 B. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Zacks Research Upgrades Peloton Interactive to Strong-Buy |
Peloton Interactive Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Peloton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Peloton Interactive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peloton Interactive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 390 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Peloton Interactive Fundamentals Growth
Peloton Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Peloton Interactive, and Peloton Interactive fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Peloton Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -8.47 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0275 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.1 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 3.25 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 401.97 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 16.00 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.95 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.49 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.25 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 108.6 M | ||||
| Net Income | (118.9 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.25 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.70 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.98 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 4.00 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.38 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.83) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 333 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.26) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.34 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.13 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (5.6 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 633.7 M | ||||
About Peloton Interactive Performance
By examining Peloton Interactive's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Peloton Interactive's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Peloton Interactive is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 55.25 | 69.18 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.02) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.06) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | 0.27 |
Things to note about Peloton Interactive performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Peloton Interactive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Peloton Interactive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Peloton Interactive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Peloton Interactive has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Peloton Interactive has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (118.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.25 B. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Zacks Research Upgrades Peloton Interactive to Strong-Buy |
- Analyzing Peloton Interactive's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Peloton Interactive's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Peloton Interactive's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Peloton Interactive's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Peloton Interactive's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Peloton Interactive's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Peloton Interactive's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Peloton Interactive. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. To learn how to invest in Peloton Stock, please use our How to Invest in Peloton Interactive guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Will Leisure Products sector continue expanding? Could Peloton diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peloton Interactive. Anticipated expansion of Peloton directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Peloton Interactive data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.26) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Peloton Interactive using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Peloton Interactive's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Peloton Interactive's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Peloton Interactive's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Peloton Interactive should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Peloton Interactive's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.