Freightcar America Stock Performance

RAIL Stock  USD 12.44  0.85  7.33%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Freightcar America holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.8, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Freightcar America will likely underperform. Please check Freightcar America's jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Freightcar America's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Freightcar America are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak forward indicators, Freightcar America disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
7.33
Five Day Return
8.65
Year To Date Return
13.82
Ten Year Return
(37.27)
All Time Return
(40.85)
Dividend Date
2017-08-23
Ex Dividend Date
2017-08-15
1
Head to Head Comparison Freightcar America versus The Competition
11/13/2025
2
Aug Gainers Why FreightCar America Inc. stock signals breakout potential - July 2025 Macro Moves Real-Time Volume Analysis - moha.gov.vn
11/28/2025
3
FreightCar America, Inc. Acquires a Leading Distributor of Railcar Components
12/22/2025
4
Insider Trading
01/02/2026
5
Disposition of 5266 shares by Fuentes Sierra Juan Carlos of Freightcar America at 10.76 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
6
Yellow warning, matters of the heart The real damage from Storm Goretti
01/09/2026
7
All You Need to Know About Freightcar America Rating Upgrade to Buy
01/13/2026
8
Fast-paced Momentum Stock Freightcar America Is Still Trading at a Bargain
01/16/2026
9
Spanish train driver did not know of fatal crash for four minutes
01/21/2026
10
Railroad Construction Market to Reach 275.87 Billion by 2030 - Global Trade Expansion Fuels Railroad Construction Demand
01/27/2026
11
Fire in Camden disrupts London Euston trains
01/30/2026
12
German trains were once the height of efficiency now theyre a national embarrassment
02/02/2026
13
Even passengers who would use high-speed rail dont want it and are furious about land destroyed
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow40.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5 M

Freightcar America Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  948.00  in Freightcar America on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  296.00  from holding Freightcar America or generate 31.22% return on investment over 90 days. Freightcar America is currently generating 0.5248% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.0851% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Freightcar, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Freightcar America is expected to generate 4.99 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.99 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Freightcar America Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Freightcar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.44 90 days 12.44 
about 5.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Freightcar America to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.27 (This Freightcar America probability density function shows the probability of Freightcar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.8 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Freightcar America will likely underperform. Additionally Freightcar America has an alpha of 0.4854, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Freightcar America Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Freightcar America

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freightcar America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.2912.3816.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1014.1918.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.5712.6516.74
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.9515.3317.02
Details

Freightcar America Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Freightcar America is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Freightcar America's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Freightcar America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Freightcar America within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.80
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Freightcar America Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Freightcar America for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Freightcar America can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Freightcar America appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 559.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (75.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 77.43 M.
Freightcar America has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from nypost.com: Even passengers who would use high-speed rail dont want it and are furious about land destroyed

Freightcar America Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Freightcar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Freightcar America's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Freightcar America's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments44.5 M

Freightcar America Fundamentals Growth

Freightcar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Freightcar America, and Freightcar America fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Freightcar Stock performance.

About Freightcar America Performance

By examining Freightcar America's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Freightcar America's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Freightcar America is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 50.22  53.70 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.39)(0.37)
Return On Capital Employed 0.30  0.31 
Return On Assets(0.39)(0.37)
Return On Equity 0.45  0.87 

Things to note about Freightcar America performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Freightcar America for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Freightcar America help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Freightcar America appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 559.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (75.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 77.43 M.
Freightcar America has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from nypost.com: Even passengers who would use high-speed rail dont want it and are furious about land destroyed
Evaluating Freightcar America's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Freightcar America's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Freightcar America's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Freightcar America's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Freightcar America's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Freightcar America's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Freightcar America's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Freightcar America's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Freightcar America's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Freightcar America's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Freightcar America's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Freightcar America is a strong investment it is important to analyze Freightcar America's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Freightcar America's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Freightcar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Freightcar America. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
For more information on how to buy Freightcar Stock please use our How to buy in Freightcar Stock guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freightcar America. Anticipated expansion of Freightcar directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Freightcar America assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.079
Earnings Share
2.52
Revenue Per Share
16.201
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.417
Return On Assets
0.0797
Freightcar America's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Freightcar's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Freightcar America's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Freightcar America's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Freightcar America's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Freightcar America should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Freightcar America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.