Sm Energy Co Stock Performance

SM Stock  USD 21.08  1.54  7.88%   
SM Energy has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.63, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, SM Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SM Energy is expected to be smaller as well. SM Energy today owns a risk of 2.54%. Please validate SM Energy Co value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and kurtosis , to decide if SM Energy Co will be following its current price history.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SM Energy Co are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting primary indicators, SM Energy may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
7.88
Five Day Return
11.95
Year To Date Return
10.19
Ten Year Return
251.33
All Time Return
1.4 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.038
Payout Ratio
0.1649
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.8
Dividend Date
2026-01-09
1
Is Most-Watched Stock SM Energy Company Worth Betting on Now
11/24/2025
2
Here is What to Know Beyond Why SM Energy Company is a Trending Stock
12/16/2025
3
Disposition of 4240 shares by Elizabeth McDonald of SM Energy at 26.71 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2025
4
Sm energy stock hits 52-week low at 17.57 By Investing.com - Investing.com India
01/07/2026
 
SM Energy dividend paid on 9th of January 2026
01/09/2026
5
How Mixed Analyst Revisions After Solid Quarter At SM Energy Have Changed Its Investment Story
01/16/2026
6
Acquisition by Patrick Lytle of 1813 shares of SM Energy subject to Rule 16b-3
01/20/2026
7
Disposition of 6791 shares by James Lebeck of SM Energy at 18.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
8
SM Energy Outpaces Stock Market Gains What You Should Know
01/26/2026
9
Cheap Valuation Means SM Energy Still Has Upside After Downward Target Price Revisions
01/27/2026
10
Assessing SM Energy Valuation After Recent Share Price Moves
01/28/2026
11
Insider Trading
01/30/2026
12
SM Energy completes all-stock merger with Civitas
02/02/2026
13
Assessing SM Energy Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness And Long Term Return Gap
02/03/2026
14
Disposition of 75217 shares by Van Kempen Wouter T. of SM Energy at 18.87 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow616.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.4 B

SM Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,912  in SM Energy Co on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  196.00  from holding SM Energy Co or generate 10.25% return on investment over 90 days. SM Energy Co is generating 0.189% of daily returns and assumes 2.5388% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 22% of stocks are less risky than SM Energy on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 97% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon SM Energy is expected to generate 3.15 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.15 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

SM Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of SM Energy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.08 90 days 21.08 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SM Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SM Energy Co probability density function shows the probability of SM Energy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon SM Energy has a beta of 0.63. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SM Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SM Energy Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SM Energy Co has an alpha of 0.1193, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SM Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SM Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SM Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.6021.1423.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.9725.4828.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.6321.1723.71
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.9830.7534.13
Details

SM Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SM Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SM Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SM Energy Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SM Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

SM Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SM Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SM Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SM Energy Co reports 2.84 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.64, which is normal for its line of buisiness. SM Energy has a current ratio of 0.61, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for SM Energy to invest in growth at high rates of return.
On 9th of January 2026 SM Energy paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing SM Energy Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness And Long Term Return Gap

SM Energy Fundamentals Growth

SM Energy Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SM Energy, and SM Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SM Energy Stock performance.

About SM Energy Performance

By examining SM Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into SM Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that SM Energy is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 8.71  8.28 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.21  0.22 

Things to note about SM Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about SM Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for SM Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SM Energy Co reports 2.84 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.64, which is normal for its line of buisiness. SM Energy has a current ratio of 0.61, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for SM Energy to invest in growth at high rates of return.
On 9th of January 2026 SM Energy paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing SM Energy Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness And Long Term Return Gap
Evaluating SM Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate SM Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing SM Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether SM Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining SM Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating SM Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of SM Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of SM Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into SM Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating SM Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact SM Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in SM Energy Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could SM Energy diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SM Energy. If investors know SM Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every SM Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.35)
Dividend Share
0.8
Earnings Share
6.33
Revenue Per Share
27.645
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.267
SM Energy's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on SM Energy's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate SM Energy's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since SM Energy's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SM Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SM Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SM Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.