Turning Point Brands Stock Performance

TPB Stock  USD 129.97  4.72  3.77%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Turning Point holds a performance score of 17. The entity has a beta of 0.49, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Turning Point's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Turning Point is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Turning Point's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Turning Point's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Turning Point Brands are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat uncertain basic indicators, Turning Point sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.77
Five Day Return
9.41
Year To Date Return
17.9
Ten Year Return
1.2 K
All Time Return
1.2 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0024
Payout Ratio
0.101
Forward Dividend Rate
0.3
Dividend Date
2026-01-09
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-19
1
Disposition of 15000 shares by Lawrence Wexler of Turning Point at 99.89 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/11/2025
2
4,418 Shares in Turning Point Brands, Inc. TPB Acquired by Employees Retirement System of Texas
11/28/2025
3
E-Vapor Market Tops 21 Million Users Can Altria Regain Share
12/15/2025
4
Nicotine Pouch Craze Lifts This Stock 80, To Near A Buy Point
12/31/2025
5
Is Turning Point Brands Pricing Look Stretched After Strong Five Year Share Price Gains
01/07/2026
 
Turning Point dividend paid on 9th of January 2026
01/09/2026
7
Altrias Discount Strategy Is Basic Brand a Smart Move for It
01/12/2026
8
A Look At Turning Point Brands Valuation After Q3 Beat And All Time High
01/16/2026
9
A Look At Turning Point Brands Valuation After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum
01/21/2026
10
Altria Expands Beyond Nicotine Is MOs Strategy Worth Watching
01/27/2026
11
Did Strong Q3 Results, Modern Oral Growth, and New ATM Capacity Just Shift Turning Point Brands Investment Narrative
01/30/2026
12
Thrivent Financial for Lutherans Purchases 85,716 Shares of Turning Point Brands, Inc. TPB
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow122.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-10.5 M

Turning Point Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,157  in Turning Point Brands on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,840  from holding Turning Point Brands or generate 27.96% return on investment over 90 days. Turning Point Brands is generating 0.4234% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9421% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Turning, and above 92% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Turning Point is expected to generate 2.37 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.37 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Turning Point Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Turning Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 129.97 90 days 129.97 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turning Point to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Turning Point Brands probability density function shows the probability of Turning Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Turning Point has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Turning Point average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Turning Point Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Turning Point Brands has an alpha of 0.4699, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Turning Point Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Turning Point

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turning Point Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
128.33130.27132.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
116.97132.45134.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
127.20129.14131.08
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
110.34121.25134.59
Details

Turning Point Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turning Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turning Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turning Point Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turning Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
9.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Turning Point Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turning Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turning Point Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of January 2026 Turning Point paid $ 0.075 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Thrivent Financial for Lutherans Purchases 85,716 Shares of Turning Point Brands, Inc. TPB

Turning Point Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Turning Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turning Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turning Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments46.2 M

Turning Point Fundamentals Growth

Turning Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Turning Point, and Turning Point fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Turning Stock performance.

About Turning Point Performance

By analyzing Turning Point's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Turning Point's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Turning Point has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Turning Point has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 198.74  155.45 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.13 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.14 

Things to note about Turning Point Brands performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Turning Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Turning Point Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of January 2026 Turning Point paid $ 0.075 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Thrivent Financial for Lutherans Purchases 85,716 Shares of Turning Point Brands, Inc. TPB
Evaluating Turning Point's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Turning Point's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Turning Point's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Turning Point's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Turning Point's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Turning Point's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Turning Point's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Turning Point's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Turning Point's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Turning Point's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Turning Point's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Turning Point's price analysis, check to measure Turning Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turning Point is operating at the current time. Most of Turning Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turning Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turning Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turning Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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