Arrow Home (China) Price Prediction

001322 Stock   8.10  0.31  3.69%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Arrow Home's share price is at 56. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Arrow Home, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Arrow Home's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Arrow Home Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Arrow Home's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.13
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.2882
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.4972
Wall Street Target Price
8.11
Using Arrow Home hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Arrow Home Group from the perspective of Arrow Home response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Arrow Home to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Arrow because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Arrow Home after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 7.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Arrow Home Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.756.689.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.188.1111.04
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.070.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arrow Home. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arrow Home's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arrow Home's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Arrow Home Group.

Arrow Home After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Arrow Home at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Arrow Home or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Arrow Home, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Arrow Home Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Arrow Home's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Arrow Home's historical news coverage. Arrow Home's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.03 and 10.89, respectively. We have considered Arrow Home's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.10
7.96
After-hype Price
10.89
Upside
Arrow Home is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Arrow Home Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Arrow Home Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Arrow Home is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arrow Home backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Arrow Home, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.37 
2.93
  0.14 
  0.10 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.10
7.96
1.73 
771.05  
Notes

Arrow Home Hype Timeline

Arrow Home Group is presently traded for 8.10on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Arrow is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.73%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Arrow Home is about 1035.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.20. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.62. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Arrow Home Group last dividend was issued on the 31st of May 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Arrow Home Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Arrow Home Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Arrow Home's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Arrow Home's future price movements. Getting to know how Arrow Home's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Arrow Home may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
603559Zhongtong Guomai Communication 0.00 0 per month 3.71  0.32  5.05 (4.98) 10.15 
002446Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication 0.21 1 per month 2.76  0.08  5.22 (4.62) 18.81 
002008HanS Laser Tech 1.54 2 per month 2.30  0.11  6.16 (4.15) 16.03 
600742Changchun Faway Automobile 0.25 3 per month 1.82  0.11  3.88 (3.08) 12.33 
002516Kuangda Technology Group 0.00 0 per month 2.26  0.15  8.28 (4.01) 16.92 
001324Changzhou Evergreen Technology 0.00 0 per month 2.50  0.03  4.25 (3.67) 17.39 
002217Holitech Technology Co(0.02)1 per month 2.06  0.36  5.19 (4.79) 10.65 

Arrow Home Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Arrow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arrow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Arrow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Arrow Home Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Arrow Home stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Arrow Home Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arrow Home based on analysis of Arrow Home hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Arrow Home's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Arrow Home's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Arrow Home

The number of cover stories for Arrow Home depends on current market conditions and Arrow Home's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Arrow Home is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Arrow Home's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Arrow Home Short Properties

Arrow Home's future price predictability will typically decrease when Arrow Home's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Arrow Home Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Arrow Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arrow Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding970.1 M

Complementary Tools for Arrow Stock analysis

When running Arrow Home's price analysis, check to measure Arrow Home's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrow Home is operating at the current time. Most of Arrow Home's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrow Home's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrow Home's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrow Home to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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