Dongxing Sec (China) Price Prediction

601198 Stock   11.08  0.58  4.97%   
The relative strength indicator of Dongxing Sec's the stock price is about 67. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 24th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Dongxing, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dongxing Sec's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dongxing Sec Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Dongxing Sec's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.085
Wall Street Target Price
9.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.666
Using Dongxing Sec hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dongxing Sec Co from the perspective of Dongxing Sec response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dongxing Sec to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dongxing because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Dongxing Sec after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 11.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Dongxing Sec Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.199.2013.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.939.9513.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7311.2711.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongxing Sec. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongxing Sec's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongxing Sec's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongxing Sec.

Dongxing Sec After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dongxing Sec at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dongxing Sec or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dongxing Sec, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dongxing Sec Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dongxing Sec's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dongxing Sec's historical news coverage. Dongxing Sec's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.07 and 15.09, respectively. We have considered Dongxing Sec's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.08
11.08
After-hype Price
15.09
Upside
Dongxing Sec is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dongxing Sec is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dongxing Sec Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dongxing Sec is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dongxing Sec backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dongxing Sec, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.62 
4.01
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.08
11.08
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Dongxing Sec Hype Timeline

Dongxing Sec is presently traded for 11.08on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Dongxing is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.62%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dongxing Sec is about 18870.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.07. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Dongxing Sec last dividend was issued on the 15th of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Dongxing Sec Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Dongxing Sec Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dongxing Sec's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dongxing Sec's future price movements. Getting to know how Dongxing Sec's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dongxing Sec may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Dongxing Sec Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dongxing price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dongxing using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dongxing charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Dongxing Sec Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Dongxing Sec stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dongxing Sec Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dongxing Sec based on analysis of Dongxing Sec hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dongxing Sec's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dongxing Sec's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Dongxing Sec

The number of cover stories for Dongxing Sec depends on current market conditions and Dongxing Sec's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dongxing Sec is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dongxing Sec's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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When running Dongxing Sec's price analysis, check to measure Dongxing Sec's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dongxing Sec is operating at the current time. Most of Dongxing Sec's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dongxing Sec's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dongxing Sec's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dongxing Sec to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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