Aecom Technology Stock Price Patterns
| ACM Stock | USD 97.49 0.65 0.67% |
Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2313 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2593 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.1239 | Wall Street Target Price 126.8333 |
Using Aecom Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aecom Technology from the perspective of Aecom Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aecom Technology using Aecom Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aecom using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aecom Technology's stock price.
Aecom Technology Short Interest
An investor who is long Aecom Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Aecom Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge Aecom Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 113.6026 | Short Percent 0.037 | Short Ratio 2.99 | Shares Short Prior Month 4 M | 50 Day MA 101.5326 |
Aecom Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aecom Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aecom. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aecom can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aecom Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aecom Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aecom Technology.
Aecom Technology Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Aecom Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aecom Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aecom Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aecom Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aecom Technology's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aecom Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aecom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aecom Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 97.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Aecom contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Aecom Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Aecom Technology trading at USD 97.49, that is roughly USD 0.0329 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Aecom Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Aecom Technology options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Aecom Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aecom Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aecom Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aecom Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aecom Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aecom Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aecom Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aecom Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aecom Technology's historical news coverage. Aecom Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 95.49 and 99.49, respectively. We have considered Aecom Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aecom Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aecom Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aecom Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aecom Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aecom Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aecom Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 2.01 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 14 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
97.49 | 97.49 | 0.00 |
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Aecom Technology Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Aecom Technology is traded for 97.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Aecom is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aecom Technology is about 725.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 97.36. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.08. Aecom Technology last dividend was issued on the 7th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Aecom Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aecom Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aecom Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aecom Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Aecom Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aecom Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTZ | MasTec Inc | 2.30 | 11 per month | 2.40 | 0.08 | 4.38 | (4.58) | 13.07 | |
| LII | Lennox International | (1.14) | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.75 | (2.66) | 8.58 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | 1.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.77 | (2.39) | 7.55 | |
| SNA | Snap On | (2.51) | 26 per month | 0.81 | 0.05 | 1.94 | (1.45) | 3.63 | |
| CHRW | CH Robinson Worldwide | (0.44) | 18 per month | 0.44 | 0.23 | 3.08 | (1.70) | 22.91 | |
| EXPD | Expeditors International of | 2.89 | 11 per month | 0.61 | 0.24 | 2.46 | (1.63) | 13.29 | |
| FTAI | FTAI Aviation | (7.38) | 7 per month | 2.79 | 0.17 | 6.86 | (4.53) | 17.39 | |
| JBHT | JB Hunt Transport | 1.00 | 8 per month | 0.77 | 0.19 | 3.32 | (1.54) | 6.61 | |
| APG | Api Group Corp | (0.32) | 10 per month | 1.16 | 0.14 | 3.57 | (2.16) | 8.44 | |
| STN | Stantec | 1.68 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.96 | (2.27) | 8.69 |
Aecom Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aecom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aecom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aecom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aecom Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aecom Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aecom Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aecom Technology based on analysis of Aecom Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aecom Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aecom Technology's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008233 | 0.007734 | 0.006961 | 0.003896 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.87 | 1.07 | 0.96 | 1.01 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Aecom Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Aecom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aecom Technology guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Will Construction & Engineering sector continue expanding? Could Aecom diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aecom Technology. If investors know Aecom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Aecom Technology data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | Dividend Share 1.04 | Earnings Share 4.79 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.016 |
Understanding Aecom Technology requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Aecom's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Aecom Technology's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Aecom Technology's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Aecom Technology's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aecom Technology represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Aecom Technology's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.