Aecom Technology Stock Price Prediction

ACM Stock  USD 112.56  3.09  2.82%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Aecom Technology's the stock price is about 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aecom, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aecom Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Aecom Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Aecom Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aecom Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Aecom Technology's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.0924
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.5158
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.0192
Wall Street Target Price
116.5556
Using Aecom Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aecom Technology from the perspective of Aecom Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Aecom Technology Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Aecom Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aecom. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aecom can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aecom Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aecom Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aecom Technology.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aecom Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aecom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Aecom Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 111.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Aecom Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Aecom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aecom Technology guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aecom Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.59111.00123.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
106.70108.11109.51
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
90.8999.88110.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.091.111.13
Details

Aecom Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aecom Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aecom Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aecom Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aecom Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aecom Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aecom Technology's historical news coverage. Aecom Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 110.37 and 113.19, respectively. We have considered Aecom Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
112.56
110.37
Downside
111.78
After-hype Price
113.19
Upside
Aecom Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aecom Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aecom Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aecom Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aecom Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aecom Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
1.41
  0.71 
  0.28 
10 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
112.56
111.78
0.69 
41.59  
Notes

Aecom Technology Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Aecom Technology is traded for 112.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.71, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.28. Aecom is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 111.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 41.59%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.69%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Aecom Technology is about 104.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 112.84. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.36. Aecom Technology last dividend was issued on the 2nd of October 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Aecom Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Aecom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aecom Technology guide.

Aecom Technology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aecom Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aecom Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Aecom Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aecom Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PWRQuanta Services 11.00 10 per month 1.39  0.14  3.23 (1.75) 9.70 
KBRKBR Inc 0.28 12 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.98 (3.09) 16.92 
FLRFluor(0.78)9 per month 2.80  0.03  3.57 (2.65) 21.78 
TTEKTetra Tech 0.12 8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.80 (2.30) 17.66 
MTRXMatrix Service Co(0.06)9 per month 1.58  0.14  5.19 (2.63) 19.14 
MYRGMYR Group(0.91)10 per month 1.84  0.15  4.73 (3.54) 17.58 
EMEEMCOR Group(14.64)9 per month 1.66  0.22  3.31 (1.64) 11.32 
STNStantec 0.82 10 per month 1.21 (0.05) 2.67 (1.51) 7.71 
FIXComfort Systems USA 19.09 11 per month 2.85  0.17  5.28 (2.23) 17.05 
JJacobs Solutions 1.57 9 per month 1.65  0.02  2.41 (1.97) 9.97 
GVAGranite Construction Incorporated 1.76 8 per month 0.46  0.29  2.88 (1.32) 6.13 
TPCTutor Perini 0.32 8 per month 2.84  0.11  7.18 (4.60) 20.69 
ACAArcosa Inc 0.56 8 per month 1.48  0.13  4.07 (2.32) 10.39 
APGApi Group Corp(0.17)9 per month 1.67 (0.01) 3.26 (3.02) 7.65 

Aecom Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aecom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aecom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aecom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Aecom Technology Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Aecom Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aecom Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aecom Technology based on analysis of Aecom Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aecom Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aecom Technology's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0083570.0082330.008645
Price To Sales Ratio0.80.870.91

Story Coverage note for Aecom Technology

The number of cover stories for Aecom Technology depends on current market conditions and Aecom Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aecom Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aecom Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Aecom Technology Short Properties

Aecom Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aecom Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aecom Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aecom Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aecom Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding136.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B
When determining whether Aecom Technology is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aecom Technology's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aecom Technology's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aecom Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aecom Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Aecom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aecom Technology guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aecom Technology. If investors know Aecom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aecom Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Earnings Share
3.71
Revenue Per Share
116.019
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.133
Return On Assets
0.0476
The market value of Aecom Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aecom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aecom Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aecom Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aecom Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aecom Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aecom Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aecom Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aecom Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.