Agnico Eagle Mines Stock Price Patterns
| AEM Stock | USD 251.58 5.18 2.10% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.003 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.3496 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.6547 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.1928 | Wall Street Target Price 240.8021 |
Using Agnico Eagle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agnico Eagle Mines from the perspective of Agnico Eagle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Agnico Eagle using Agnico Eagle's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Agnico using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Agnico Eagle's stock price.
Agnico Eagle Short Interest
An investor who is long Agnico Eagle may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Agnico Eagle and may potentially protect profits, hedge Agnico Eagle with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 154.5538 | Short Percent 0.0107 | Short Ratio 1.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.8 M | 50 Day MA 193.0106 |
Agnico Eagle Mines Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Agnico Eagle's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Agnico. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Agnico can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Agnico Eagle Mines. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Agnico Eagle's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Agnico Eagle.
Agnico Eagle Implied Volatility | 0.57 |
Agnico Eagle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Agnico Eagle Mines stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Agnico Eagle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Agnico Eagle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Agnico Eagle's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agnico Eagle to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agnico because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Agnico Eagle after-hype prediction price | USD 248.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Agnico contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Agnico Eagle Mines will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Agnico Eagle trading at USD 251.58, that is roughly USD 0.0896 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Agnico Eagle's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Agnico Eagle Mines options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Agnico Eagle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agnico Eagle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agnico Eagle After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agnico Eagle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agnico Eagle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agnico Eagle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agnico Eagle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agnico Eagle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agnico Eagle's historical news coverage. Agnico Eagle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 245.26 and 251.38, respectively. We have considered Agnico Eagle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agnico Eagle is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agnico Eagle Mines is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agnico Eagle Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agnico Eagle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agnico Eagle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agnico Eagle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.67 | 3.04 | 1.98 | 0.48 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
251.58 | 248.32 | 0.78 |
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Agnico Eagle Hype Timeline
On the 27th of February Agnico Eagle Mines is traded for 251.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.98, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.48. Agnico is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 248.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 103.05%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.78%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.67%. The volatility of related hype on Agnico Eagle is about 428.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 252.06. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.91 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.46 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.56 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Agnico Eagle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Agnico Eagle Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agnico Eagle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agnico Eagle's future price movements. Getting to know how Agnico Eagle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agnico Eagle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NEM | Newmont Goldcorp Corp | 0.61 | 8 per month | 3.15 | 0.15 | 5.48 | (5.64) | 17.21 | |
| CRH | CRH PLC ADR | 4.02 | 8 per month | 1.94 | 0.03 | 3.35 | (3.14) | 10.55 | |
| B | Barrick Mining | 0.20 | 9 per month | 3.09 | 0.15 | 4.37 | (4.74) | 20.22 | |
| SHW | Sherwin Williams Co | 3.07 | 8 per month | 1.12 | 0.02 | 2.69 | (2.13) | 6.63 | |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | (0.09) | 7 per month | 1.50 | 0.28 | 3.84 | (2.42) | 9.15 | |
| ECL | Ecolab Inc | (1.48) | 10 per month | 0.64 | 0.11 | 2.03 | (1.47) | 4.92 | |
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | (1.90) | 9 per month | 3.71 | 0.16 | 6.28 | (5.73) | 23.45 | |
| AU | AngloGold Ashanti plc | 1.42 | 8 per month | 3.61 | 0.18 | 6.01 | (6.72) | 21.11 | |
| FCX | Freeport McMoran Copper Gold | (0.15) | 8 per month | 2.14 | 0.29 | 4.25 | (4.27) | 12.29 | |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals | 1.40 | 6 per month | 3.24 | 0.21 | 4.63 | (5.51) | 18.32 |
Agnico Eagle Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agnico price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agnico using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agnico charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Agnico Eagle Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Agnico Eagle stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agnico Eagle Mines, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agnico Eagle based on analysis of Agnico Eagle hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agnico Eagle's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agnico Eagle's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0238 | 0.0172 | 0.008555 | 0.012 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.97 | 4.72 | 7.15 | 7.68 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Agnico Eagle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Agnico diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agnico Eagle. If investors know Agnico will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Agnico Eagle data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.003 | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 8.85 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.603 |
Investors evaluate Agnico Eagle Mines using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Agnico Eagle's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Agnico Eagle's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Agnico Eagle's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Agnico Eagle represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Agnico Eagle's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.