Gold Fields Ltd Stock Price Prediction
| GFI Stock | USD 15.24 0.17 1.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.36 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.17 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.91 | Wall Street Target Price 17.84 |
Using Gold Fields hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gold Fields Ltd from the perspective of Gold Fields response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gold Fields to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gold Fields after-hype prediction price | USD 15.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gold |
Gold Fields After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gold Fields at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gold Fields or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gold Fields, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gold Fields Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gold Fields' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gold Fields' historical news coverage. Gold Fields' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.52 and 17.94, respectively. We have considered Gold Fields' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gold Fields is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gold Fields is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gold Fields Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gold Fields is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gold Fields backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gold Fields, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.71 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.24 | 15.23 | 0.07 |
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Gold Fields Hype Timeline
On the 24th of November Gold Fields is traded for 15.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gold is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 15.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Gold Fields is about 54200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.24. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Gold Fields was currently reported as 5.21. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. Gold Fields had 1161:1000 split on the 21st of February 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Gold Fields Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gold Fields Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gold Fields' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gold Fields' future price movements. Getting to know how Gold Fields' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gold Fields may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTCO | Fortitude Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.10 | 3.19 | (2.33) | 16.65 | |
| GLDG | GoldMining | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.74 | (0.01) | 4.26 | (2.91) | 11.50 |
Gold Fields Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gold Fields Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gold Fields stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gold Fields Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gold Fields based on analysis of Gold Fields hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gold Fields's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gold Fields's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0333 | 0.0331 | 0.0381 | 0.0443 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.31 | 2.15 | 2.87 | 1.58 |
Story Coverage note for Gold Fields
The number of cover stories for Gold Fields depends on current market conditions and Gold Fields' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gold Fields is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gold Fields' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gold Fields Short Properties
Gold Fields' future price predictability will typically decrease when Gold Fields' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gold Fields Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gold Fields' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gold Fields' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 895 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 648.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Gold Stock analysis
When running Gold Fields' price analysis, check to measure Gold Fields' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gold Fields is operating at the current time. Most of Gold Fields' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gold Fields' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gold Fields' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gold Fields to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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