Agnico Eagle Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| AEM Stock | USD 216.59 11.38 5.55% |
Agnico Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Agnico Eagle's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Agnico Eagle's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Agnico Eagle fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength momentum indicator of Agnico Eagle's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.003 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.3496 | EPS Estimate Current Year 14.3709 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.2649 | Wall Street Target Price 237.3077 |
Using Agnico Eagle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agnico Eagle Mines from the perspective of Agnico Eagle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Agnico Eagle using Agnico Eagle's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Agnico using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Agnico Eagle's stock price.
Agnico Eagle Short Interest
An investor who is long Agnico Eagle may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Agnico Eagle and may potentially protect profits, hedge Agnico Eagle with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 152.4 | Short Percent 0.01 | Short Ratio 1.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 6 M | 50 Day MA 188.7672 |
Agnico Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Agnico Eagle Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 217.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 244.24.Agnico Eagle Mines Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Agnico Eagle's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Agnico. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Agnico can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Agnico Eagle Mines. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Agnico Eagle's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Agnico Eagle.
Agnico Eagle Implied Volatility | 0.56 |
Agnico Eagle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Agnico Eagle Mines stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Agnico Eagle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Agnico Eagle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Agnico Eagle's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Agnico Eagle Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 217.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 244.24. Agnico Eagle after-hype prediction price | USD 217.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agnico Eagle to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Agnico contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Agnico Eagle Mines will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Agnico Eagle trading at USD 216.59, that is roughly USD 0.0758 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Agnico Eagle's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Agnico Eagle Mines options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Agnico Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Agnico Eagle's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Agnico Eagle's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Agnico Eagle stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Agnico Eagle's open interest, investors have to compare it to Agnico Eagle's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Agnico Eagle is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Agnico. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Agnico Eagle Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agnico price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agnico using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agnico charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Agnico Eagle Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Agnico Eagle Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 217.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.14, mean absolute percentage error of 37.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 244.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Agnico Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Agnico Eagle's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Agnico Eagle Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Agnico Eagle | Agnico Eagle Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Agnico Eagle Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Agnico Eagle's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Agnico Eagle's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 214.66 and 220.88, respectively. We have considered Agnico Eagle's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Agnico Eagle stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Agnico Eagle stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3444 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.1397 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 244.24 |
Predictive Modules for Agnico Eagle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agnico Eagle Mines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agnico Eagle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agnico Eagle After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agnico Eagle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agnico Eagle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agnico Eagle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agnico Eagle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agnico Eagle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agnico Eagle's historical news coverage. Agnico Eagle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 214.44 and 220.66, respectively. We have considered Agnico Eagle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agnico Eagle is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agnico Eagle Mines is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agnico Eagle Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agnico Eagle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agnico Eagle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agnico Eagle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 3.11 | 0.96 | 0.06 | 36 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 36 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
216.59 | 217.55 | 0.44 |
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Agnico Eagle Hype Timeline
On the 17th of February 2026 Agnico Eagle Mines is traded for 216.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.96, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Agnico is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 217.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 154.73%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Agnico Eagle is about 2303.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 216.65. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.91 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.46 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.56 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 36 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agnico Eagle to cross-verify your projections.Agnico Eagle Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agnico Eagle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agnico Eagle's future price movements. Getting to know how Agnico Eagle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agnico Eagle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NEM | Newmont Goldcorp Corp | (0.40) | 5 per month | 3.17 | 0.16 | 5.48 | (5.64) | 17.21 | |
| CRH | CRH PLC ADR | 1.04 | 7 per month | 1.80 | 0.05 | 3.35 | (3.05) | 10.55 | |
| B | Barrick Mining | 0.45 | 6 per month | 3.14 | 0.16 | 4.37 | (4.74) | 20.22 | |
| SHW | Sherwin Williams Co | 3.90 | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.04 | 2.69 | (1.83) | 6.63 | |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | 0.1 | 7 per month | 1.54 | 0.19 | 3.84 | (2.42) | 9.15 | |
| ECL | Ecolab Inc | 0.33 | 14 per month | 0.69 | 0.14 | 2.28 | (1.47) | 4.92 | |
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | (1.03) | 10 per month | 3.84 | 0.10 | 6.28 | (6.36) | 23.45 | |
| AU | AngloGold Ashanti plc | 1.39 | 8 per month | 3.73 | 0.16 | 6.21 | (6.72) | 21.11 | |
| FCX | Freeport McMoran Copper Gold | 0.01 | 7 per month | 2.32 | 0.23 | 4.25 | (4.27) | 12.29 | |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals | (4.44) | 6 per month | 3.48 | 0.16 | 4.63 | (5.51) | 18.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Agnico Eagle
For every potential investor in Agnico, whether a beginner or expert, Agnico Eagle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Agnico Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Agnico. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Agnico Eagle's price trends.Agnico Eagle Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Agnico Eagle stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Agnico Eagle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agnico Eagle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Agnico Eagle Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Agnico Eagle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Agnico Eagle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Agnico Eagle stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Agnico Eagle Mines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0544 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9628 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 211.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 213.07 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 11.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 10.97 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 11.38 |
Agnico Eagle Risk Indicators
The analysis of Agnico Eagle's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Agnico Eagle's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting agnico stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.02 | |||
| Variance | 9.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.06) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Agnico Eagle
The number of cover stories for Agnico Eagle depends on current market conditions and Agnico Eagle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agnico Eagle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agnico Eagle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Agnico Eagle Short Properties
Agnico Eagle's future price predictability will typically decrease when Agnico Eagle's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agnico Eagle Mines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agnico Eagle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agnico Eagle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 500 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agnico Eagle to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Agnico diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agnico Eagle. If investors know Agnico will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Agnico Eagle data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.003 | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 8.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.603 |
Investors evaluate Agnico Eagle Mines using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Agnico Eagle's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Agnico Eagle's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Agnico Eagle's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Agnico Eagle represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Agnico Eagle's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.