Vaneck Africa Index Etf Price Patterns
| AFK Etf | USD 28.19 1.04 3.83% |
Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VanEck Africa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VanEck Africa Index from the perspective of VanEck Africa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VanEck Africa using VanEck Africa's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VanEck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VanEck Africa's stock price.
VanEck Africa Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
VanEck Africa's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VanEck Africa Index stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VanEck Africa's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VanEck Africa stock will not fluctuate a lot when VanEck Africa's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in VanEck Africa to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying VanEck because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
VanEck Africa after-hype prediction price | USD 28.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VanEck contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VanEck Africa Index will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With VanEck Africa trading at USD 28.19, that is roughly USD 0.007928 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VanEck Africa's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VanEck Africa Index options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out VanEck Africa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. VanEck Africa After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VanEck Africa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VanEck Africa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of VanEck Africa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VanEck Africa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VanEck Africa's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VanEck Africa's historical news coverage. VanEck Africa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.55 and 29.97, respectively. We have considered VanEck Africa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VanEck Africa is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VanEck Africa Index is based on 3 months time horizon.
VanEck Africa Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as VanEck Africa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VanEck Africa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VanEck Africa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.69 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.19 | 28.26 | 0.25 |
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VanEck Africa Hype Timeline
On the 9th of February VanEck Africa Index is traded for 28.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. VanEck is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on VanEck Africa is about 4333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.20. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out VanEck Africa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.VanEck Africa Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VanEck Africa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VanEck Africa's future price movements. Getting to know how VanEck Africa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VanEck Africa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IQDY | FlexShares International Quality | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.57 | 0.13 | 1.37 | (1.30) | 3.26 | |
| USAI | Pacer American Energy | 0.51 | 3 per month | 0.66 | 0.15 | 1.64 | (1.31) | 4.09 | |
| FEUZ | First Trust Eurozone | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.60 | 0.13 | 1.48 | (1.20) | 3.42 | |
| BLUI | Exchange Traded Concepts | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 0.28 | (0.24) | 0.83 | |
| KWT | iShares MSCI Kuwait | (0.13) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.07 | (1.31) | 8.55 | |
| EOCT | Innovator ETFs Trust | 0.07 | 11 per month | 0.24 | (0.06) | 0.78 | (0.57) | 2.20 | |
| REVS | Columbia Research Enhanced | (0.19) | 5 per month | 0.50 | 0.07 | 1.37 | (1.17) | 2.75 | |
| RFDA | RiverFront Dynamic Dividend | 0.09 | 2 per month | 0.64 | (0.06) | 1.23 | (1.23) | 3.65 | |
| RAYE | Rayliant Quantamental Emerging | (0.09) | 2 per month | 1.81 | 0.05 | 4.86 | (2.96) | 12.98 | |
| BUL | Pacer Cash Cows | 0.12 | 4 per month | 0.91 | 0.01 | 1.78 | (1.73) | 4.22 |
VanEck Africa Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VanEck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VanEck using various technical indicators. When you analyze VanEck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About VanEck Africa Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of VanEck Africa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as VanEck Africa Index, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of VanEck Africa based on analysis of VanEck Africa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to VanEck Africa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to VanEck Africa's related companies.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out VanEck Africa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Investors evaluate VanEck Africa Index using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating VanEck Africa's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause VanEck Africa's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that VanEck Africa's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether VanEck Africa represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, VanEck Africa's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.