Air T Inc Preferred Stock Price Patterns
| AIRTP Preferred Stock | USD 20.29 0.06 0.30% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Air T hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air T Inc from the perspective of Air T response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Air T to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Air because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Air T after-hype prediction price | USD 20.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Air |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air T's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Air T After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Air T at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Air T or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Air T, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Air T Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Air T's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Air T's historical news coverage. Air T's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.48 and 21.88, respectively. We have considered Air T's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Air T is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air T Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Air T Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Air T is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air T backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Air T, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.68 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.29 | 20.18 | 0.54 |
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Air T Hype Timeline
Air T Inc is presently traded for 20.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Air is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.54%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Air T is about 1253.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.31. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2023. Air T Inc had 1:10 split on the 14th of January 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Air T Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Air T Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Air T's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Air T's future price movements. Getting to know how Air T's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Air T may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACCL | Acco Group Holdings | 0.07 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 9.19 | (10.86) | 43.64 | |
| MESA | Mesa Air Group | 0.90 | 7 per month | 3.05 | 0.07 | 6.11 | (5.56) | 16.91 | |
| MPU | Mega Matrix Corp | (0.23) | 5 per month | 6.09 | 0.01 | 8.85 | (12.61) | 44.14 | |
| VTSI | VirTra Inc | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.00 | (4.02) | 14.21 | |
| MAGH | Magnitude International Ltd | 0.57 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.28 | 9.21 | 0.00 | 33.99 | |
| SST | System1 | 0.03 | 6 per month | 4.19 | (0) | 7.18 | (6.72) | 19.31 | |
| SCWO | 374Water Common Stock | (0.12) | 5 per month | 8.58 | 0.01 | 19.32 | (9.68) | 45.42 | |
| GWH | ESS Tech | 0.14 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.71 | (9.24) | 20.76 | |
| PMEC | Primech Holdings Ltd | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.86 | (8.86) | 23.47 | |
| OMEX | Odyssey Marine Exploration | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.04 | (7.89) | 30.16 |
Air T Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Air price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Air T Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Air T stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Air T Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air T based on analysis of Air T hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Air T's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Air T's related companies.
Pair Trading with Air T
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Air T position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Air T will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Air Preferred Stock
| 0.77 | MNST | Monster Beverage Corp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | PYTCY | Playtech PLC ADR | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | ZNOG | Zion Oil Gas | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | SSUMF | Sumitomo | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | ARLP | Alliance Resource | PairCorr |
Moving against Air Preferred Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Air T could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Air T when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Air T - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Air T Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Air T is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Air T moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Air T Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Air T can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Air Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Air T's price analysis, check to measure Air T's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air T is operating at the current time. Most of Air T's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air T's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air T's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air T to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.