Allot Communications Stock Price Prediction
| ALLT Stock | USD 10.61 0.29 2.81% |
Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Allot Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Allot Communications from the perspective of Allot Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Allot Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Allot because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Allot Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 10.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Allot Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Allot Stock please use our How to Invest in Allot Communications guide.Allot Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Allot Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Allot Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Allot Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Allot Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Allot Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Allot Communications' historical news coverage. Allot Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.34 and 13.88, respectively. We have considered Allot Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Allot Communications is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Allot Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
Allot Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Allot Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Allot Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Allot Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 3.29 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.61 | 10.61 | 0.00 |
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Allot Communications Hype Timeline
Allot Communications is presently traded for 10.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Allot is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Allot Communications is about 4633.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.62. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Allot Communications was presently reported as 2.64. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.53. Allot Communications had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Allot Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Allot Stock please use our How to Invest in Allot Communications guide.Allot Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Allot Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Allot Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Allot Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Allot Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATGL | Alpha Technology Group | (0.14) | 27 per month | 7.45 | 0.06 | 12.37 | (9.79) | 151.54 | |
| BAND | Bandwidth | (0.03) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.29 | (3.75) | 12.36 | |
| GRRR | Gorilla Technology Group | (0.14) | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.43 | (7.66) | 19.51 | |
| FNCHF | FINEOS Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.76 | |
| CGNT | Cognyte Software | 1.56 | 27 per month | 2.20 | 0.04 | 2.97 | (3.75) | 13.68 | |
| CCSI | Consensus Cloud Solutions | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.56 | (5.06) | 20.98 | |
| BLZE | Backblaze | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.46 | (6.25) | 42.64 | |
| RPAY | Repay Holdings Corp | (0.14) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.79 | (7.59) | 16.12 | |
| PRTH | Priority Technology Holdings | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.63 | (4.74) | 34.79 | |
| TDCSF | TDC SOFT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Allot Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Allot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allot using various technical indicators. When you analyze Allot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Allot Communications Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Allot Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Allot Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Allot Communications based on analysis of Allot Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Allot Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Allot Communications's related companies.
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Additional Tools for Allot Stock Analysis
When running Allot Communications' price analysis, check to measure Allot Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allot Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Allot Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allot Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allot Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allot Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.