American Homes 4 Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 36.57 37.79 39.01 Details

22 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 34.02 37.39 41.50 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.11 0.15 0.11 Details

American Homes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

American Homes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

American Homes Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.02	1.24	0.00	0.01	10 Events / Month	8 Events / Month	In about 10 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
38.32	38.31	0.03	620.00   Notes

American Homes Hype Timeline

On the 27th of November American Homes 4 is traded for 38.32. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. American is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on American Homes is about 330.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.33. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Homes 4 has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 117.36. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The firm had 7:1 split on the 24th of August 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out American Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Homes Related Hype Analysis

American Homes Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of American Homes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Homes 4, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Homes based on analysis of American Homes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for American Homes depends on current market conditions and American Homes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Homes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Homes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

American Homes' future price predictability will typically decrease when American Homes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Homes 4 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running American Homes' price analysis, check to measure American Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Homes is operating at the current time. Most of American Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.