Almaden Minerals Stock Price Prediction
| AMM Stock | CAD 0.06 0.01 8.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 1.55 |
Using Almaden Minerals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Almaden Minerals from the perspective of Almaden Minerals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Almaden Minerals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Almaden because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Almaden Minerals after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Almaden |
Almaden Minerals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Almaden Minerals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Almaden Minerals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Almaden Minerals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Almaden Minerals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Almaden Minerals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Almaden Minerals' historical news coverage. Almaden Minerals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 7.82, respectively. We have considered Almaden Minerals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Almaden Minerals is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Almaden Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Almaden Minerals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Almaden Minerals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Almaden Minerals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Almaden Minerals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 7.83 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.06 | 0.06 | 9.09 |
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Almaden Minerals Hype Timeline
Almaden Minerals is presently traded for 0.06on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Almaden is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 9.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Almaden Minerals is about 10440.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.07. The company has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.9412) % which means that it has lost $0.9412 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on equity (ROE) of (1.7675) %, meaning that it generated substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Almaden Minerals' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Almaden Minerals manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 27th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -4.76. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -0.34. At this time, Almaden Minerals' Intangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 27th of November 2024, Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to grow to 0.0004, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 12.1 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be very soon. Check out Almaden Minerals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Almaden Minerals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Almaden Minerals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Almaden Minerals' future price movements. Getting to know how Almaden Minerals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Almaden Minerals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AG | First Majestic Silver | 0.05 | 4 per month | 2.92 | 0.02 | 6.12 | (4.50) | 19.85 | |
| IE | Ivanhoe Energy | 0.10 | 1 per month | 2.78 | 0.12 | 5.97 | (4.72) | 19.82 |
Almaden Minerals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Almaden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Almaden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Almaden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Almaden Minerals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Almaden Minerals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Almaden Minerals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Almaden Minerals based on analysis of Almaden Minerals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Almaden Minerals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Almaden Minerals's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 1.8M | 1.9M | PTB Ratio | 3.62 | 2.87 |
Story Coverage note for Almaden Minerals
The number of cover stories for Almaden Minerals depends on current market conditions and Almaden Minerals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Almaden Minerals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Almaden Minerals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Almaden Minerals Short Properties
Almaden Minerals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Almaden Minerals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Almaden Minerals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Almaden Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Almaden Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 137.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Almaden Stock
Almaden Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Almaden Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Almaden with respect to the benefits of owning Almaden Minerals security.