Antero Resources Corp Stock Price Patterns

AR Stock  USD 33.85  0.22  0.65%   
As of today, the value of relative strength index of Antero Resources' share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Antero Resources, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Antero Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Antero Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Antero Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Antero Resources Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Antero Resources' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.299
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.8983
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.2015
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.8955
Wall Street Target Price
43.8095
Using Antero Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Antero Resources Corp from the perspective of Antero Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Antero Resources using Antero Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Antero using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Antero Resources' stock price.

Antero Resources Short Interest

An investor who is long Antero Resources may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Antero Resources and may potentially protect profits, hedge Antero Resources with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
34.8041
Short Percent
0.0398
Short Ratio
1.79
Shares Short Prior Month
12.3 M
50 Day MA
34.2706

Antero Resources Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Antero Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Antero. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Antero can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Antero Resources Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Antero Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Antero Resources.

Antero Resources Implied Volatility

    
  0.46  
Antero Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Antero Resources Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Antero Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Antero Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Antero Resources' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Antero Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Antero because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Antero Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 33.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Antero contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Antero Resources Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Antero Resources trading at USD 33.85, that is roughly USD 0.009732 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Antero Resources' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Antero Resources Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Antero Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.4737.5940.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.2132.7135.21
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.8743.8148.63
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.560.891.66
Details

Antero Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Antero Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Antero Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Antero Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Antero Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Antero Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Antero Resources' historical news coverage. Antero Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.33 and 36.33, respectively. We have considered Antero Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
33.85
33.83
After-hype Price
36.33
Upside
Antero Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Antero Resources Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Antero Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Antero Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Antero Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Antero Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
2.52
  0.02 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
33.85
33.83
0.06 
787.50  
Notes

Antero Resources Hype Timeline

As of February 19, 2026 Antero Resources Corp is listed for 33.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Antero is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.83. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Antero Resources is about 11454.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.85. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.37. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Antero Resources Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.35. The entity last dividend was issued on the May 9, 2016. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Antero Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Antero Resources Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Antero Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Antero Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Antero Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Antero Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OVVOvintiv 0.11 11 per month 1.91  0.16  4.13 (3.83) 8.85 
RRCRange Resources Corp 0.40 11 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.82 (3.01) 11.21 
AMAntero Midstream Partners 0.25 10 per month 1.07  0.17  2.50 (2.01) 5.56 
PRPermian Resources(0.12)6 per month 1.50  0.22  3.66 (2.42) 7.79 
DINOHF Sinclair Corp 0.18 11 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.03 (2.86) 7.95 
APAAPA Corporation 0.53 7 per month 2.25  0.10  4.65 (3.52) 13.20 
PAAPlains All American 0.35 7 per month 0.50  0.33  1.87 (1.23) 5.15 
DTMDT Midstream(1.64)10 per month 0.75  0.17  1.78 (1.37) 4.48 
VNOMViper Energy Ut 0.19 9 per month 1.47  0.14  2.90 (2.74) 10.04 
HESMHess Midstream Partners(0.03)6 per month 0.93  0.14  2.29 (1.74) 5.02 

Antero Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Antero price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Antero using various technical indicators. When you analyze Antero charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Antero Resources Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Antero Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Antero Resources Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Antero Resources based on analysis of Antero Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Antero Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Antero Resources's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01420.01
Price To Sales Ratio2.021.92

Pair Trading with Antero Resources

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Antero Resources position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Antero Resources will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Antero Stock

  0.516BW BW ENERGY LTDPairCorr
  0.46RO1 Caspian Sunrise plcPairCorr
  0.33JP9 Japan Petroleum ExplPairCorr
  0.32CDA Canuc Resources Corp SplitPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Antero Resources could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Antero Resources when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Antero Resources - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Antero Resources Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Antero Resources is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Antero Resources moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Antero Resources Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Antero Resources can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Antero Stock Analysis

When running Antero Resources' price analysis, check to measure Antero Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Antero Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Antero Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Antero Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Antero Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Antero Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.