Antero Resources Corp Stock Price Prediction
| AR Stock | USD 33.11 0.29 0.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.29 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0) | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0627 | Wall Street Target Price 33.8182 |
Using Antero Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Antero Resources Corp from the perspective of Antero Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Antero Resources Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Antero Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Antero. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Antero can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Antero Resources Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Antero Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Antero Resources.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Antero Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Antero because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Antero Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 33.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Antero |
Antero Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Antero Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Antero Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Antero Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Antero Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Antero Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Antero Resources' historical news coverage. Antero Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.71 and 36.09, respectively. We have considered Antero Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Antero Resources is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Antero Resources Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Antero Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Antero Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Antero Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Antero Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.69 | 0.60 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.11 | 33.40 | 0.00 |
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Antero Resources Hype Timeline
As of November 22, 2024 Antero Resources Corp is listed for 33.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Antero is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 146.99%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Antero Resources is about 10461.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.12. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Antero Resources Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.0. The entity last dividend was issued on the May 9, 2016. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Antero Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Antero Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Antero Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Antero Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Antero Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Antero Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HUSA | Houston American Energy | 0.01 | 4 per month | 5.27 | 0.07 | 11.11 | (7.14) | 37.16 | |
| MXC | Mexco Energy | 0.19 | 49 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.43 | (7.99) | 19.69 | |
| REI | Ring Energy | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.43 | (5.33) | 18.99 | |
| PVL | Permianville Royalty Trust | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.38 | (4.91) | 12.07 | |
| GTE | Gran Tierra Energy | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.31 | (4.63) | 12.49 | |
| EPSN | Epsilon Energy | (0.1) | 6 per month | 2.17 | 0.04 | 4.46 | (3.74) | 11.32 | |
| EPM | Evolution Petroleum | (0.03) | 8 per month | 1.63 | 0.09 | 3.99 | (2.93) | 20.30 |
Antero Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Antero price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Antero using various technical indicators. When you analyze Antero charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Antero Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Antero Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Antero Resources Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Antero Resources based on analysis of Antero Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Antero Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Antero Resources's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0253 | 0.0184 | 0.0212 | 0.0201 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.93 | 1.15 | 1.45 | 1.38 |
Story Coverage note for Antero Resources
The number of cover stories for Antero Resources depends on current market conditions and Antero Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Antero Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Antero Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Antero Resources Short Properties
Antero Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Antero Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Antero Resources Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Antero Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Antero Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 311.6 M |
Additional Tools for Antero Stock Analysis
When running Antero Resources' price analysis, check to measure Antero Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Antero Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Antero Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Antero Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Antero Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Antero Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.