Ares Capital Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 21.31 21.98 22.65 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 21.48 22.16 22.83 Details

14 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 19.01 20.89 23.19 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.57 0.59 0.60 Details

Ares Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Ares Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Ares Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.10	0.68	0.02	0.01	12 Events / Month	11 Events / Month	In about 12 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
21.78	21.76	0.09	323.81   Notes

Ares Capital Hype Timeline

Ares Capital is presently traded for 21.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Ares is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Ares Capital is about 1149.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.77. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ares Capital last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Ares Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ares Stock refer to our How to Trade Ares Stock guide.

Ares Capital Related Hype Analysis

Ares Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ares using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Ares Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ares Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ares Capital based on analysis of Ares Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Ares Capital depends on current market conditions and Ares Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ares Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ares Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ares Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ares Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ares Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ares Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ares Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Ares Capital's price analysis, check to measure Ares Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ares Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Ares Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ares Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ares Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ares Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.