Aterian Stock Price Patterns
| ATER Stock | USD 0.69 0.01 1.06% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.58) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.27) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.98) | Wall Street Target Price 8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.63) |
Using Aterian hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aterian from the perspective of Aterian response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aterian using Aterian's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aterian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aterian's stock price.
Aterian Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Aterian's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aterian stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aterian's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aterian stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aterian's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aterian to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aterian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aterian after-hype prediction price | USD 0.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Aterian Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aterian's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aterian After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aterian at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aterian or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aterian, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aterian Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aterian's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aterian's historical news coverage. Aterian's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 5.80, respectively. We have considered Aterian's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aterian is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aterian is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aterian Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aterian is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aterian backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aterian, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 5.08 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.69 | 0.72 | 3.96 |
|
Aterian Hype Timeline
Aterian is presently traded for 0.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Aterian is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.72 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 3.96%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Aterian is about 3277.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.75. Aterian currently holds 7.41 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.19, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Aterian Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aterian Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aterian's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aterian's future price movements. Getting to know how Aterian's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aterian may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLYE | Fly E Group Common | 0.16 | 9 per month | 11.97 | 0.04 | 21.57 | (20.17) | 284.75 | |
| YJ | Yunji Inc | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.50 | (6.04) | 19.76 | |
| FGI | FGI Industries | 1.36 | 6 per month | 7.69 | 0.05 | 16.30 | (14.12) | 50.77 | |
| DSS | DSS Inc | 0.03 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.00 | (6.30) | 22.05 | |
| WKHS | Workhorse Group | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 10.78 | (8.50) | 56.82 | |
| SOND | Sonder Holdings | (0.02) | 8 per month | 24.50 | 0.10 | 67.74 | (61.54) | 2,000 | |
| BTBD | Bt Brands | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.25 | (8.55) | 25.61 | |
| REBN | Reborn Coffee | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.95 | (9.04) | 27.14 | |
| UCAR | U Power Limited | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.79 | (5.00) | 15.91 | |
| CENN | Cenntro Electric Group | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 13.33 | (6.67) | 24.81 |
Aterian Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aterian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aterian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aterian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aterian Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aterian stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aterian, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aterian based on analysis of Aterian hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aterian's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aterian's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 10.82 | 13.94 | 12.54 | 8.26 | PTB Ratio | 0.76 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.62 |
Pair Trading with Aterian
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aterian position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aterian will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Aterian Stock
| 0.69 | LBLCF | Loblaw Companies | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | PPERY | Bank Mandiri Persero Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | PLBL | Polibeli Group | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | TLKMF | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | BRTHY | Brother Industries Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | FEBO | Fenbo Holdings | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aterian could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aterian when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aterian - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aterian to buy it.
The correlation of Aterian is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aterian moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aterian moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aterian can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Aterian Stock Analysis
When running Aterian's price analysis, check to measure Aterian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aterian is operating at the current time. Most of Aterian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aterian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aterian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aterian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.