Atlanticus Holdings Stock Price Patterns

ATLC Stock  USD 50.55  0.07  0.14%   
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Atlanticus Holdings' share price is approaching 38. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Atlanticus Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 38

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Atlanticus Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Atlanticus Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Atlanticus Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.7925
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.91
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.575
Wall Street Target Price
91.6
Using Atlanticus Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atlanticus Holdings from the perspective of Atlanticus Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Atlanticus Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Atlanticus Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Atlanticus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Atlanticus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Atlanticus Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Atlanticus Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Atlanticus Holdings.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Atlanticus Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Atlanticus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Atlanticus Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 50.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Atlanticus Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Atlanticus Stock refer to our How to Trade Atlanticus Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.5058.5461.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.1850.2453.30
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
83.3691.60101.68
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.972.142.23
Details

Atlanticus Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Atlanticus Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atlanticus Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atlanticus Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Atlanticus Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Atlanticus Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atlanticus Holdings' historical news coverage. Atlanticus Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.28 and 53.40, respectively. We have considered Atlanticus Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
50.55
50.34
After-hype Price
53.40
Upside
Atlanticus Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atlanticus Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Atlanticus Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atlanticus Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atlanticus Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atlanticus Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
3.06
  0.21 
  0.04 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
50.55
50.34
0.42 
185.45  
Notes

Atlanticus Holdings Hype Timeline

Atlanticus Holdings is presently traded for 50.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Atlanticus is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 50.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 185.45%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.42%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Atlanticus Holdings is about 1104.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.59. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.37. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Atlanticus Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.63. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Atlanticus Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Atlanticus Stock refer to our How to Trade Atlanticus Stock guide.

Atlanticus Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Atlanticus Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atlanticus Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Atlanticus Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atlanticus Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LXLexinfintech Holdings(0.03)8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.32 (8.84) 34.72 
BBDCBarings BDC 0.02 9 per month 0.89  0.02  1.44 (1.34) 4.34 
QDQudian Inc(0.23)15 per month 0.00 (0.16) 4.50 (6.58) 17.86 
WRLDWorld Acceptance 2.89 10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.13 (5.39) 23.16 
NRDSNerdwallet 0.36 12 per month 2.38  0.02  4.66 (4.58) 19.33 
UVSPUnivest Pennsylvania(0.57)11 per month 1.17  0.03  3.42 (2.21) 9.31 
SLRCSLR Investment Corp 0.07 7 per month 1.00 (0.02) 1.77 (1.73) 4.32 
FMBHFirst Mid Illinois(0.32)10 per month 1.26  0.07  3.31 (2.58) 9.25 
SBSISouthside Bancshares 0.43 10 per month 0.89  0.15  2.73 (1.57) 8.89 
EIGEmployers Holdings 0.15 9 per month 1.67  0.05  2.41 (2.15) 7.46 

Atlanticus Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Atlanticus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atlanticus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atlanticus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Atlanticus Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Atlanticus Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Atlanticus Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Atlanticus Holdings based on analysis of Atlanticus Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Atlanticus Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Atlanticus Holdings's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04440.03130.02820.0322
Price To Sales Ratio1.531.792.061.85

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Complementary Tools for Atlanticus Stock analysis

When running Atlanticus Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Atlanticus Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlanticus Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Atlanticus Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlanticus Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlanticus Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlanticus Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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