Bridger Aerospace Group Stock Price Prediction
| BAER Stock | 3.23 0.04 1.22% |
Momentum 81
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.205 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.29) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.39) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.17) | Wall Street Target Price 5.25 |
Using Bridger Aerospace hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bridger Aerospace Group from the perspective of Bridger Aerospace response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Bridger Aerospace Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bridger Aerospace's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bridger. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bridger can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bridger Aerospace Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bridger Aerospace's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bridger Aerospace.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bridger Aerospace to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bridger because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bridger Aerospace after-hype prediction price | USD 3.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Bridger Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bridger Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bridger Aerospace After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bridger Aerospace at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bridger Aerospace or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bridger Aerospace, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bridger Aerospace Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bridger Aerospace's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bridger Aerospace's historical news coverage. Bridger Aerospace's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 8.14, respectively. We have considered Bridger Aerospace's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bridger Aerospace is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bridger Aerospace is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bridger Aerospace Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bridger Aerospace is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bridger Aerospace backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bridger Aerospace, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.17 | 4.95 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.23 | 3.23 | 0.00 |
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Bridger Aerospace Hype Timeline
Bridger Aerospace is currently traded for 3.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Bridger is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bridger Aerospace is about 8250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.16. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.4. Bridger Aerospace had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Bridger Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bridger Aerospace Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bridger Aerospace's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. Getting to know how Bridger Aerospace's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bridger Aerospace may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DFLI | Chardan NexTech Acquisition | 0.84 | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 13.98 | (17.43) | 58.61 | |
| DHX | DHI Group | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.44 | (5.06) | 13.34 | |
| SNT | Senstar Technologies | (1.53) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.06 | (7.90) | 27.00 | |
| NNBR | NN Inc | (0.19) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.49 | (5.59) | 21.64 | |
| OPTT | Ocean Power Technologies | 0.09 | 19 per month | 6.48 | 0.07 | 22.81 | (8.82) | 36.47 | |
| XCH | XCHG Limited American | 0.09 | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.76 | (8.50) | 32.99 | |
| SUGP | SU Group Holdings | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 17.52 | (9.68) | 43.26 | |
| FLX | BingEx | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.22 | (6.92) | 25.66 | |
| RYM | RYTHM Inc | 0.23 | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 10.94 | (15.38) | 63.12 | |
| SHIM | Shimmick Common | (0.25) | 7 per month | 3.99 | 0.12 | 12.69 | (6.83) | 26.47 |
Bridger Aerospace Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bridger price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bridger using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bridger charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bridger Aerospace Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bridger Aerospace stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bridger Aerospace Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bridger Aerospace based on analysis of Bridger Aerospace hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bridger Aerospace's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bridger Aerospace's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 12.4 | 12.44 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 6.26 | 5.95 |
Pair Trading with Bridger Aerospace
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bridger Aerospace position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bridger Aerospace will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Bridger Stock
Moving against Bridger Stock
| 0.63 | GFAI | Guardforce AI | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | ZEPP | Zepp Health Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | SPCB | Supercom | PairCorr |
| 0.35 | MVIS | Microvision | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | LINK | Interlink Electronics | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bridger Aerospace could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bridger Aerospace when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bridger Aerospace - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bridger Aerospace Group to buy it.
The correlation of Bridger Aerospace is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bridger Aerospace moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bridger Aerospace moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bridger Aerospace can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Bridger Stock Analysis
When running Bridger Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Bridger Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridger Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Bridger Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridger Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridger Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.