Banc Of California, Stock Price Prediction

BANC Stock  USD 16.02  0.20  1.23%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Banc Of's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Banc Of, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Banc Of's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Banc of California,, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Banc Of's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.85
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2577
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.2515
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.6311
Wall Street Target Price
19
Using Banc Of hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banc of California, from the perspective of Banc Of response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Banc Of using Banc Of's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Banc using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Banc Of's stock price.

Banc Of Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Banc Of's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Banc. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Banc Of stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
14.6068
Short Percent
0.0735
Short Ratio
5.56
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
16.1792

Banc of California, Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Banc Of's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Banc. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Banc can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Banc of California,. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Banc Of's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Banc Of.

Banc Of Implied Volatility

    
  0.71  
Banc Of's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Banc of California, stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Banc Of's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Banc Of stock will not fluctuate a lot when Banc Of's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Banc Of to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Banc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Banc Of after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Banc contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Banc of California, will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Banc Of trading at USD 16.02, that is roughly USD 0.007109 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Banc Of's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Banc of California, options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Banc Of Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2617.6119.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.5315.8818.23
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.3819.1021.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.220.250.27
Details

Banc Of After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Banc Of at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banc Of or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Banc Of, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Banc Of Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Banc Of's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banc Of's historical news coverage. Banc Of's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.66 and 18.36, respectively. We have considered Banc Of's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.02
16.01
After-hype Price
18.36
Upside
Banc Of is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banc of California, is based on 3 months time horizon.

Banc Of Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banc Of is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banc Of backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banc Of, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
2.35
  0.01 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.02
16.01
0.06 
5,875  
Notes

Banc Of Hype Timeline

Banc of California, is currently traded for 16.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Banc is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Banc Of is about 5177.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.03. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Banc of California, has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Banc Of Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Banc Of Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Banc Of's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banc Of's future price movements. Getting to know how Banc Of's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banc Of may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PGCPeapack Gladstone Financial(0.26)9 per month 1.96 (0.03) 2.92 (3.18) 21.09 
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp(0.31)7 per month 1.87 (0.02) 4.03 (2.55) 23.58 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp 0.28 8 per month 1.99 (0.01) 2.62 (2.99) 19.07 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.59)8 per month 1.57  0.06  2.91 (2.94) 21.63 
BYByline Bancorp 0.20 9 per month 1.53  0.04  2.89 (2.72) 21.89 
BWFGBankwell Financial Group 0.69 9 per month 1.89  0.03  3.97 (2.84) 18.77 
BSRRSierra Bancorp 0.86 8 per month 2.16  0.02  3.61 (3.13) 26.66 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.48 (1.63) 22.47 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.10  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
FISIFinancial Institutions 0.24 6 per month 1.64  0.03  3.45 (3.01) 18.42 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.09)9 per month 1.27 (0.01) 2.53 (1.95) 11.26 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.12  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.19 4 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.58 (1.74) 4.32 

Banc Of Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Banc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Banc Of Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Banc Of stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Banc of California,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Banc Of based on analysis of Banc Of hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Banc Of's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Banc Of's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
PTB Ratio2.420.580.660.63
Price To Sales Ratio7.07.031.441.36

Story Coverage note for Banc Of

The number of cover stories for Banc Of depends on current market conditions and Banc Of's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banc Of is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banc Of's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Banc Of Short Properties

Banc Of's future price predictability will typically decrease when Banc Of's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Banc of California, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Banc Of's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banc Of's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding168.7 M

Complementary Tools for Banc Stock analysis

When running Banc Of's price analysis, check to measure Banc Of's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banc Of is operating at the current time. Most of Banc Of's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banc Of's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banc Of's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banc Of to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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